So how WOULD Clinton and Obama do in Fla and Michigan?

[kay1864]

Were there any polls for those states since Super Tuesday?

i.e., if there were a do-over in either state, have there been any projections of actual delegate gains?

(ACTUAL POLLS, please, not opinions like "I think he/she would suck/kick ass in a do-over" Thanks! :hi:)

[rinsd]

1. Here's a Quinnipiac poll from early this month for FL

In a general election match-up, McCain trails Clinton 44 - 42, too close to call, but handily defeats Obama 46 - 37 percent.

"The difference between Clinton and Obama in Florida is the white vote," said Brown. "She gets 38 percent to 50 percent for McCain, but Obama loses to the Arizona senator 54 - 27 among white voters. If Obama does get the nomination, how he fares with whites will be crucial to his chances."

The economy is the most important issue to Florida voters, 44 percent of voters say, followed by 19 percent who list the war in Iraq and 14 percent who cite health care.

Twenty-nine percent say a strong leader is the most important characteristic they seek in a president, while 27 percent say trustworthiness.

Being black is an advantage for Obama, 35 percent say, while 15 percent say it's a disadvantage and 44 percent say it makes no difference.

Being a woman is an advantage for Clinton, 24 percent say, with 25 percent saying it's a disadvantage and 47 percent saying it makes no difference. Ohio


http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x2882.xml?ReleaseID=1164

[kay1864]

3. Thanks! Duh, I didn't consider there would still be GE polls for Fla

I figured pollsters wouldn't be spending time/$ on Fla or Michigan unless a primary do-over was imminent.

Wonder what the net gain in delegates would be in a theoretical primary, using the above numbers. C'mon Quinnipiac, do the math for us! :)

[RaleighNCDUer]

5. OTOH, the difference between either Hillary or Obama and McCain

is the Sequoia vote - and neither of them can overcome that.

Florida is lost to the Democrats for at least another election cycle. No matter who votes for who.

[NJmaverick]

2. Obama would win MI and Hillary FL

[kay1864]

4. Kindly read my OP, not just the title

Thanks! :hi: