SUSA Indiana: Clinton 52% (down 3) Obama 43% (up 4) in newest poll

book_worm

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Mon Apr-28-08 11:49 AM
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SUSA Indiana: Clinton 52% (down 3) Obama 43% (up 4) in newest poll

Previously Hillary led Obama (in poll out 4/14) by 16-points, 55-39:
Indiana Men, Democrats, & Young Voters Move Away From Obama: In a Democratic Primary in Indiana today, 04/14/08, three weeks until the primary, Hillary Clinton defeats Barack Obama 55% to 39%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for WCPO-TV Cincinnati and WHAS-TV Louisville. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released two weeks ago, Clinton is up 3 points, Obama is down 4 points. Clinton had led by 9 at the beginning of April, leads by 16 mid-month. Here's where the movement is occurring: Among men, Obama had trailed by 2, now trails by 12, a 10-point swing to Clinton. In greater Indianapolis, Obama had led by 12, now trails by 1, a 13-point swing to Clinton. Among Democrats, Obama had trailed by 12, now trails by 27, a 15-point swing to Clinton. Among voters focused on health care, Clinton had led by 10, now leads by 30, a 20-point swing to Clinton. Among the youngest voters, Obama had led by 19, now trails by 2, a 21-point swing to Clinton.

Filtering: 1,600 state of Indiana adults were interviewed 04/11/08 through 04/13/08. All interviews were completed before the Democratic candidates appeared in a "compassion forum" the evening of 04/13/08. Of the adults, 1,386 were registered to vote. Of them, 571 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 05/06/08 Indiana Democratic Primary. Indiana has 72 Democratic convention delegates, which are awarded proportionally. Republicans and Independents are technically eligible to vote in Indiana's 'open' primary

Now the gap is down to 9-points (52-43):
In a Democratic Primary in Indiana today, 04/28/08, 8 days until votes are counted, Hillary Clinton finishes ahead of Barack Obama, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for WHAS-TV in Louisville and WCPO-TV in Cincinnati. The results are identical to a SurveyUSA TV poll released 4 weeks ago, on 04/01/08. Clinton led then 52% to 43%, leads now 52% to 43%. Other polls show the contest closer; some polls show Obama ahead. SurveyUSA tracking graphs show movement toward Clinton in the middle of April but offsetting movement to Obama at the end of April. This back-and-forth can be seen clearly on the interactive tracking graphs for males, for Democrats, for pro-choice voters, and for residents of greater Indianapolis. Clinton's advantage is steady among women, steady among voters age 50+, and steady in Southern Indiana, which borders Kentucky. Obama is gaining ground among voters under 50, where he leads for the first time; among liberals, where he leads for the first time; in Northern Indiana, where he is tied for the first time; and in Central Indiana, where he has cut Clinton's lead in half. Clinton, by contrast, is making steady inroads among Independent voters.

Filtering / Context: 1,600 state of Indiana adults were interviewed 04/25/08 through 04/27/08. All interviews conducted after results of the 04/22/08 Pennsylvania Primary were known. Of the Indiana adults, 1,382 were registered to vote. Of them, 628 were identified by SurveyUSA as likely to vote in the 05/06/08 Indiana Democratic Primary. 55% of likely Primary voters now name the Economy as the issue the next President should focus on ahead of all others, up from 44% a month ago, and double what it was when SurveyUSA began asking the question 4 months ago in early primary polling. 2% of Indiana likely voters in today's poll tell SurveyUSA they have already voted, 98% have yet to vote.