Why can't Obama close the deal?

[mudesi]

Warning, Hillary loyalists, I'm about to bombard you with some cold, hard, numbers.

The following is the list of states (and other contests) that Clinton won by 10% or more.

Primaries
Arkansas - 44%
Oklahoma - 24%
Rhode Island - 18%
New York - 17%
Massachusetts - 16%
Tennessee - 13%
New Jersey - 10%
Ohio - 10%
Pennsylvania - 10% (Because I'm generous)

Caucuses
American Samoa - 15%


The following is the list of states (and other contests) that Obama won by 10% or more.

Primaries
D.C. - 51%
Georgia - 35%
Democrats Abroad - 34%
Illinois - 32%
Virginia - 29%
South Carolina - 28%
Maryland - 25%
Louisiana - 24%
Mississippi - 24%
Vermont - 20%
Utah - 18%
Wisconsin - 17%
Alabama - 14%
Delaware - 11%

Caucuses
Idaho - 63%
Hawaii - 52%
Alaska - 50%
Kansas - 48%
Washington - 37%
Nebraska - 36%
Colorado - 35%
Minnesota - 34%
North Dakota - 24%
Wyoming - 23%
Maine - 20%
Texas - 12%

Other
U.S. Virgin Islands - 84%

The rest of the contests (such as California, the Texas primary, and Missouri, for example) were won by either Clinton or Obama by less than 10% and are not being discussed here. (And no, I'm not including Florida or Michigan, because they don't count).

Some facts:

Non weighted average winning margin for contests Clinton won by 10% or more
14.28%

Non weighted average winning margin for contests Obama won by 10% or more
32.59%

Largest margin won by Clinton
Arkansas - 44%

Largest margin won by Obama
Idaho - 63% (I'm not counting U.S. Virgin Islands, because I'm nice).

Total number of contests won by Clinton by 10% or more
10

Total number of contests won by Obama by 10% or more
27

Number of primary contests won by Clinton by 10% or more
9

Number of primary contests won by Obama by 10% or more
14

Number of caucus contests won by Clinton by 10% or more
1

Number of caucus contests won by Obama by 10% or more
12

Northeast states won by Clinton by 10% or more
6

Northeast states won by Obama by 10% or more
3

Midwest states won by Clinton by 10% or more
1

Midwest states won by Obama by 10% or more
10

Southern states won by Clinton by 10% or more
2

Southern states won by Obama by 10% or more
8

Other states not mentioned above won by Clinton by 10% or more
1 (American Samoa)

Other states not mentioned above won by Obama by 10% or more
6 (Democrats Abroad, D.C., Alaska, Washington, Hawaii, U.S. Virgin Islands)

Why can't Obama close the deal? I think the question you ought to be asking is why can't Clinton take a hint.

[AnarchoFreeThinker]

1. K&R (and thanks again, LS)

[roguevalley]

25. better question: Why can't she?

[Avalux]

2. He's closing the deal right under Hillary's nose!

5 more SDs today; making his magic number shrink.

[IndianaGreen]

3. Obama is now 286 delegates away from winning the Democratic Party’s presidential nomination.

That's the real deal!

[butterfly77]

4. The better question is...

WHY IS HILLARY A LYING,HYPOCRITICAL, SACK OF SHIT!

[futureliveshere]

5. He HAS closed it. They just don't realize it. Give them some time to absorb their losses & move on.

[stillcool]

6. Those lying numbers again...

why do they not compute? My gosh I get the impression that Obama is winning! How can that be?

[LSK]

7. Token excuse post

Big states only count

Caucuses don't count

Popular vote only counts

Michigans vote only counts

Reverend Wright has brainwashed Obama into killing your children

[Coexist]

8. wonderful.

recommended

[FlyingSquirrel]

9. Brrrr...

Ouch!

Those are some pretty cold and hard numbers!

[Window]

10. K/R for truth.

Clinton and her supporters are like "The Global Warming Deniers of Democratic Politics"

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x5744657


:kick:

[Eurobabe]

11. K & FR

[npincus]

12. K & R

[Window]

13. Excellent post. Those are the cold, hard FACTS.

:kick:

[Neshanic]

14. He does not have a retinue of Suburbans that use gas. He hitchhikes.

[Mooney]

15. I keep saying it -- he closed the deal in February.

Everything that's happened since then has been HRC trying to find a way around the fact that the deal is closed.

[rocktivity]

18. DING DING DING! Mooney, you're our grand prize winner!

...(H)e closed the deal in February...

On Super Tuesday The First, Hillary did so badly that she needed to get 60% of the vote in all of the contests on Super Tuesday The Second to catch up. She came close only in Rhode Island. Having failed at that, she now needs 68% of the vote, and in ALL of remaining contests--WV and KY alone won't do. If she loses NC and gets less than 65% of IN, her "magic number" shoots up to 80% of the vote.

:headbang:
rocknation

[Mooney]

23. I don't even bother with the math any more.

This thing is over. Let the more rabid HRC partisans keep believing in divine intervention.

[mudesi]

28. Notice how many Clinton supporters replied so far

Even with the friendly subject line, not one Clinton supporter has a single thing to say about these numbers. Facts can be cruel.

[Triana]

16. THANK YOU! n/t

[Stevepol]

17. It's possible your thesis is valid, but it's also possible that nobody

has the foggiest idea of what the actual vote was in any of the primaries you list.

When the vote is counted in total secrecy by private, highly partisan companies, almost always without verification of any kind (85% of the machines used in PA didn't even have any paper to audit) it's impossible have a democracy and obviously there's no reason to have the slightest confidence in any of the results. So all the theories being spun out based on these results are pure speculation.

[ClassWarrior]

19. Why do Clinton defenders think the Presidency is for sale?

Sorry, it's not "a deal." It's a solemn agreement between the people and their representatives.

NGU.

[zulchzulu]

20. But...but...but...she can handle sniper fire!!!

:crazy:

Good list!

[TragedyandHope]

21. Our esteemed former First Lady will move along in her own time

:kick:

[azmouse]

22. kick

[Tribetime]

24. Somehow I don't think her supporters think math matters

[Leftist Agitator]

26. "Why can't Obama close the deal?"

Obama has "closed the deal", and Her Royal Clintonness and her band of quixotic Hillarites think that by sticking their fingers in their ears and going "LA LA LA I CAN'T HEAR YOU! WRIGHT REZKO AYERS LA LA LA! WHY CAN'T HE CLOSE THE DEAL LA LA LA HE'S UNELECTABLE LA LA LA" somehow, in some magical way their Queen, Madame Inevitable, will receive the nomination in defiance of the will of the voters.

It isn't going to happen, but Hillary and her merry troop of apologist supporters keep acting as if she still has a chance.

[Obamanaut]

27. I especially like the last line of your OP. knr. nt

[Butch350]

29. Why Can't Hillary Close The Deal?

[K8-EEE]

30. I'm totally mystified with the continuing "contests" when he obviously won

There's no way she can win....if he gets even 16% in any remaining contest he is the winner with delegates. And he seems to have the BigMo with superdelegates also.

I think the "librul" media just wants a contest for ratings? :shrug:

[kid a]

31. BAM!

[chknltl]

32. Sen. Obama is backed by We The People, Sen. Clinton is backed by:

The Neo-Cons, the right wing pundits in the MSM, FAUX News, Rush Limbaugh, Rupert Murdock, The Military Industrial Complex, the "War Pigs" and a considerable amount less of We The People.

Somehow, someway, for the sake of our country, our world, Senator Obama MUST win through.