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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
 
AllentownJake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-01-08 10:16 AM
Original message
Math before Tuesday
Current Totals MSNBC assuming no more super endorsements (other than add ons) between now and Tuesday

Clinton 1601 Obama 1738

Hillary should pick up 4 from NY when they declare their add ons today
Obama should pick up 2 from Maryland when they declare their add ons today
Obama should pick up 1 from SC on Saturday add ons
Obama should pick up 1 from Louisiana on Saturday add ons
Obama will pick up 3 delegates from Illinois (already declared not official till Monday)

Assuming a 2-2 split in Guam

Clinton 1607 Obama 1747

695 delegates left
404 Pledged
291 Supers

Obama needs 280 70% of Pledged 40% of all delegates
Clinton needs 420 103% of Pledged 58% of Remaining

Assuming 50-50 Split remaining Pledged

Clinton 1809 216 supers needed 74%
Obama 1949 76 Supers needed 26%

Assuming 55-45 Split Advantage Clinton remaining Pledged

Clinton 1829 196 supers needed 67%
Obama 1929 96 supers needed 33%


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helderheid Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-01-08 10:17 AM
Response to Original message
1. thanks!
:hi:
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DemsUnited Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-01-08 10:18 AM
Response to Original message
2. The math still remains unbeatable for Clinton.
Edited on Thu May-01-08 10:18 AM by DemsUnited
thanks for posting.
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TragedyandHope Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-01-08 10:54 AM
Response to Original message
3. Kick - Thanks for the stats!
:kick:
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