Obama Falls 7 Points in One Day Verses Clinton In NC

[PBS Poll-435]

Is this YouTube fallout or just more of the (w)right effect?


http://zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1496

[blm]

1. It's more continuation from those who knew it was over shortly after Super Tuesday.

And are working for Hillary2012 ever since.

[tokenlib]

2. That's why they do two day averages....

Some days are more extreme than others. The large Obama lead the day before was seemingly too high. So they balance out.

[obamaguy2]

3. It's that stupid Wright guy

I'm wondering if he really does want Obama to lose.

[PBS Poll-435]

4. Who knows for sure.

I hope he finds his way to some TV cameras soon, though.

I miss him!

[VolcanoJen]

5. Obama leads Clinton 50% to 34% in that poll.

Clinton can't crack 40%, and you call that "fallout"?

Clinton Rules are funny.

[PBS Poll-435]

7. Fixed. Thanks

for the heads up

[VolcanoJen]

12. So he fell four points in one day, not seven. And Hillary still can't crack 40%.

Are you going to fix your OP too?

[PBS Poll-435]

14. He was up +16 yesterday, and it is in single digits today.

Change of 7 points.

[VolcanoJen]

17. That's an odd way of looking at it....

... but either way, it sure doesn't appear NC will be the "game changer" Hillary's promising to you.

[democrattotheend]

6. I doubt it's the Kantor video

There's no evidence whatsoever that anyone in Obama's campaign had anything to do with it, and tapper has specifically said the campaign did not send him the video. Plus, the video has only gotten a little bit of attention outside the blogosphere.

[PBS Poll-435]

8. It was covered on AC360 last night

[NJSecularist]

9. If Obama can't win North Carolina by more than 10 points, he is unelectable.

This is a state with close to 40% of the electoral being African American, that of which he'll receive 90% of their vote.

[PBS Poll-435]

10. If he doesn't win by more than 10 points, he needs to suspend his campaign

And figure out how to get back on the (w)right track.

:rofl:

[beachmom]

11. Why? Hillary couldn't win PA by 10 points. Are you suggesting that

primaries predict general elections? Because the history of elections doesn't back that up.

[NJSecularist]

13. Hillary doesn't get 90% of the white vote. n/t

[earthlover]

22. That's what they said about Hillary in OH and PA.... (9.2 is less than 10)

So it is interesting we hear such absolutes coming from Hillary Goal Post Moving Company.....

[iamthebandfanman]

23. way to make it a race thing

and by ur theory, then so is hillary since she didnt win penn by more than 10.

[IsItJustMe]

30. LOL

What a nice big pile of steaming shit.

[Austinitis]

15. Awesome. K&R. n/t

[Bigleaf]

16. and will still kick her ass there on Tuesday!

[PBS Poll-435]

18. Good luck.

He better win by 20% or he is going to have the appearance of an "electability" problem.

[jackson_dem]

21. The irony is Obama can--and will--win NC and not answer the electability issue

He will win due to a 30-3 advantage among his ethnic group. He will lose everyone else by double digits. The biggest question about his electability is his limited appeal outside of his ethnic group and winning NC due to a net 27 point overall advantage among your ethnic group while getting less than 40% among everyone else will not assuage the concerns many superdelegates have about his limited appeal.

[MindMatter]

25. So why can't Hillary hold HER racial group?

[jackson_dem]

28. Your argument is whites should bloc vote for a candidate because she is white?

She wins whites with almost 60%, Latinos 2:1, won Asians in California 3:1. She has broad appeal that transcends race.

[MindMatter]

29. Your argument is that Blacks only support Obama because he's black?

[Bigleaf]

27. NO. He just has to win the state which he will. Shit, he might win Indiana also.

[jackson_dem]

19. It is just Zogby still sucking. Obamites were desperate in latching onto Zog yesterday

[PBS Poll-435]

20. Shhhhh.

HE IS A LEGITIMATE POLLSTER!


:rofl::rofl:

[MindMatter]

24. Has anybody even bothered to look at the full set of polls?

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/nc/north_carolina_democratic_primary-275.html

They have all been pretty consistent, showing Obama with a 5-10% lead, and that's probably about where it will end up. NC is by far the largest block of pledged delegates left. Clinton cannot afford to lose in NC. It looks like she could win by 5% in Indiana, but if she turns around and loses NC by 5% that is devastating to the tiny sliver of hope her campaign might have had.

From Guam, IN, and NC, Obama will pick up nearly 100 pledged delegates. Then in WV, KY, and OR, he will get at least 55. Then in RP, MT, and SD, he will get about 45.

1739 (his present total) + 100 + 55 + 45 = 1939, meaning that he needs only 85 more superdelegates beyond the 250 RealClearPolitics gives him how. That is 85 out of 277 uncommitted SD. And don't forget there is a "Pelosi club" of SDs who have agreed to back the one who ends up with the most pledged delegates, so it really is a question of "when" not "if". If Obama has a decent showing on Tuesday, look for at least half those needed 85 to come out within the next week.

[IamyourTVandIownyou]

26. its the zogby effect.

.