INDIANA 5/3: Obama: 43, Hillary: 41 (Zogby/USAElectionPolls)

[Triana]

Still within the MOE but good news nonetheless, that Obama has Hillary W. bu$h ON THE RUN and that it is this close. I suspect she'll get Indiana and Obama will get NC. And we'll still be stuck with the Hillary albatross upon the neck of this primary for another few weeks.

http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/2008/indiana.html


Zogby Poll
Date: 5/2-3
Indiana
Added: 5/4/08
Est. MoE = 4.0%
Barack Obama 43%
Hillary Clinton 41%
Unsure 8%
Other 8%

[Colobo]

1. I'd say that translates to a tie, by giving Clinton 5% of the unsure and Obama

3% of them. 46% to 46%. I did this because Clinton does better with undecideds.

[Triana]

2. Still good though, that it's that close! n/t

[FARAFIELD]

4. does better with undecided? You dont know what you are talking about

it has been well documented that undecideds (about 75% of the time break for the eventual winner) most recent BEST examples. Junior Tuesday, PA primary, Potomac Primary. Hell what about the 2006 Senate where we go 75% give or take 3% of the undecideds in EVERY race except Montana. Yikes, undecides break for Hillary. Dude you need to know your facts. Undecideds break for the eventual winner in a huge super majority of cases.

[jenmito]

7. The undecideds have broken for Hillary in just about every single primary so far.

First-time voters break for Obama but undecideds have consistently gone for Hillary, sadly.

[TheFarseer]

3. nice to see that but

Zogby is as reliable as magic 8 ball and Clinton seems to always get the undecideds. I have seen good trend lines though for Obama so I hate to predict what will happen in Indiana on Tuesday.

[FARAFIELD]

5. Correct that being said ZOGBY is absolute shit

See calling OHIO for Kerry and saying "florida trending Kerry" the night of the election. he blows

[Triana]

6. Zogby has been much better since PA - pretty much called PA...

...but like you say, anything can happen. I've pretty much resigned to the Hill getting IN.

[flpoljunkie]

8. Speaking of Indiana, Dean will speak at J-J dinner tonight at 6PM. Clinton, Obama will also speak.

Not listed as being televised on C-Span. Perhaps CNN will cover it LIVE online.

Anyone know of any other online coverage of this event.