Final IA NC Poll: O 47; C 43; U 10

[kennetha]

HIllary could still pull North Carolina out, if Insider Advantage is to be believed. One thing for sure, somebody is going to have egg on his/her face.

http://www.southernpoliticalreport.com/storylink_56_382.aspx">InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion Survey North Carolina

[shayes51]

1. And the U category has been breaking for Hillary!

[Texas Hill Country]

4. nearly 3 to 1 iirc

[skooooo]

2. Yeah when pigs fly.

[jordi_fanclub]

3. WHAT?!?!... This BULLSHIT-OF-A_POLL already debunked yesterday?! AGAIN????

First: seems that the young people is UNDER-represented (less than 1/3 of the other age groups)... but WORSE,
Second: That "24.4" it's a mathematical IMPOSSIBLE; try to divide 1, 2, 3... per 8 and you NEVER obtain 0.244 !!!



Direct LINK to that POS: http://www.insideradvantagegeorgia.com/Sunday%20NC%20poll.pdf

(link yesterday message: http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=132&topic_id=5820043&mesg_id=5820341 )

[jsamuel]

6. if you notice

38 and 37 are very close to 37.5, which is 3/8

24.4 is very close to 25 which is 2/8.

So 3/8 + 3/8 + 2/8 = 8/8

The difference between 25 and 24.4 is due to the weighting.

[book_worm]

5. I/A had him up in their poll by 3 yesterday , so he seems to be gaining, but...

They poll a lot in Southern races and I've noticed that I/A often has Obama behind what he actually polls. For example:

Alabama I/A final poll was 45-43 Obama and the result was 56/42 Obama
Georgia I/A final poll was 51-36 Obama and the result was 67-31 Obama
Virginia I/A final poll was 52/37 Obama but final result was 64-35 Obama

They got him winning but not by as big of a margin as he eventually did.

[GoesTo11]

7. One thing for sure, somebody is going to have egg on his/her face. ???

That can't be right. What if it comes out about as expected? Sure, if HRC does much better than expected, Obama has egg, and if Obama does much better than expected, HRC has egg. But there has to be somewhere in the middle where the egg misses both of them. Right?

[kennetha]

8. No I meant the pollsters

Since the margins are all over the place.

[GoesTo11]

9. Got it.

Pollsters would starve without egg.