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Early Exit Poll Estimates:

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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 10:23 AM
Original message
Early Exit Poll Estimates:
They won't be any good just as they haven't been all season. I could pull numbers straight out of my ass and they would be more accurate.

Remember, anytime you are about to fall for them, remember:

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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 10:27 AM
Response to Original message
1. Shame on you guys. I can't believe that got over 70 views in three minutes.
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mcctatas Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 10:30 AM
Response to Reply #1
3. Oh come on...
you can't expect us not to look...
someone might have missed a good opportunity to bash a supporter from the other side;)
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Alhena Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 10:30 AM
Response to Reply #1
4. It won't happen again- welcome to ignore
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Umbram Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 10:32 AM
Response to Reply #1
6. I was just coming in to make fun of you.
Now that I see I've been trapped, I'm chewing off my own arm so I can hit the back button with my bloody stump and then running away.
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democrattotheend Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 10:29 AM
Response to Original message
2. Anything you hear about exit polls before 5 PM is total BS
People who work with exit poll data are locked in a room without cell phones until 5 PM. This policy was instituted in 2006 after early, unweighted (and thus incorrect) exit poll results were leaked showing Kerry winning. So anything you hear before 5 PM, other than anecdotal evidence (heavy turnout at a predominantly black precinct, people you know who broke for Clinton at the last minute, etc) is pure BS.

Someone who claimed to have early exit poll data before 5 PM on March 11 claimed clinton was going to win Mississippi. Just an example of why anything you hear before 5 is BS.
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Tropics_Dude83 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 10:31 AM
Response to Reply #2
5. Exactly right
And even the exit poll data horserace numbers that we see after 5 p.m. aren't neccessasrily accurate. We saw it in New Hampshire, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. Just take the exit poll data that the cable news networks actually release on air seriously and the AP write-up. The horserace numbers are bound to be bogus.
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Leocattiglio Donating Member (8 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 10:37 AM
Response to Original message
7. Drudge was our main source of exit poll numbers in PA
sadly. And he just made the numbers up.
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 10:38 AM
Response to Original message
8. Serious Question:
How do exit polls figure in early voting? I've never really understood how exactly they can do that.
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GoesTo11 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 11:00 AM
Response to Original message
9. Learned my lesson. Not going to look at them until polls closed.
They are so far off and there are so many different results that you just get one person's spin or another until the polls close. Not worth the distraction.
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