Clinton would need an upset win in North Carolina tonight to have a realistic chance

[not_too_L8]

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http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0508/10119.html

Not only would Clinton have to run the table in every remaining contest, she would have to do so by margins that a unachievable under any foreseeable circumstances:

In Indiana, she’d have to cashier Obama, 70 percent to 30 percent.

In North Carolina, she’d have to slam him 60-35.

In West Virginia, she’s expected to do well — but not 75-20.

Kentucky should be a strong state for her, but 79-20?

In Oregon, she’d need a 71-21 tsunami.

Ditto Puerto Rico, 80-20.

Montana would take a sky-high 68-31.

And South Dakota would require a Rushmore-like 76-24.

This parlor game is unfair, because the Clinton win scenario – such as it is – doesn’t depend on her taking the lead in pledged delegates.

Her strategists say their most optimistic calculations show her finishing about 100 behind Obama.

The strategists say that she then would be in a position to argue to superdelegates – the party insiders who get a vote on the nomination, and are likely to have the last word – that she would be a stronger match for the Republican nominee, Sen. John McCain (Ariz.).

But Obama also has superdelegate momentum at the moment, making that improbable, as well.