Latest Indiana Exits Polls:

[Hutzpa]

Obama: 50.5

Clinton: 49.5



http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/05/06/exit-polls-indiana-north_n_100447.html



:popcorn:


:spray:

[Dbdmjs1022]

1. I wish it's true, but I have doubts. Some exits had him winning PA.

[nxylas]

2. Clinton's surrogates controlled the electoral machine in PA

Is the same true of Indiana?

[Hutzpa]

6. Do they control the machine in

Indiana too??

I hope not...

Dang!

[stillcool]

16. Mixed bag of voting systems..

in both states.
http://www.verifiedvoting.org/verifier/

[book_worm]

3. If he comes within five in Indiana and wins NC big then the SD will really begin

endorsing Obama.

[Crabby Appleton]

4. It's huffpo, probably BS

[The Doctor.]

18. So if the Huffington post said the Earth revolved around the Sun, you wouldn't believe it either?

Those are numbers from the AP. It's pretty amateur to judge their veracity by the final outlet.

If you wanted to know whether they're accurate or not, you'd go straight to the source, research the methodology, look for any concrete ideological influences, and then bring your findings back to this thread.

But that's more work than just saying; "It's a lie because I don't like where it's printed.", isn't it?

[jezebel]

5. This can't be true. Fox News has Hillary winning white men in IND 58%, and you know she won women by

probably more.

[Catch22Dem]

7. If FOX says it's true, then it must be true (n/t)

[progressoid]

14. Ugh, why are you watching faux newz?!

:puke:

[Yukari Yakumo]

8. Oh please oh please oh please oh please oh please oh please oh please oh please oh please

And I like this too:

North Carolina

Obama: 60%

Clinton: 38%

[Triana]

9. Not getting my hopes up for Obama in IN. He'll take NC easy...and Hillary will declare that

doesn't count. Only IN counts. Only the states SHE wins count.

She'll declare that her IN win means she has the nomination sealed up.

[slick8790]

10. That's 100.4% n/t

[TahitiNut]

11. Picky, picky, picky.

:rofl:

[nsd]

12. The link says 50.5% and 49.5%.

Still, I'm not getting my hopes up. We've seen enough exit polls fail badly to predict the outcome.

[slick8790]

13. Indeed.

Sadly, Obama has underperformed his exit polls pretty regularly.

[The Doctor.]

19. Where and under what circumstances?

I seem to recall that happened to many Democrats in recent years... and never to Republicans.

[Hutzpa]

15. updated

feel better.

[Bucky]

17. That's a Clinton win, by the way. Obama consistantly performs below the exits. Probably 53-47

Add 3 to 4 points to Clinton over any exit polling (if history is any guide).

On to Oregon! YEEEEAAAARRRRRGGGHH!

[The Doctor.]

21. Uhh... yeah, but she needs a BIG victory.

Even then she can't catch up with anything but a miracle.

[Bucky]

23. True. Too bad the Messiah is on our side

:)

[The Doctor.]

29. Which one?

[Stevepol]

26. As the note in one place says, The exit polls "are notoriously unreliable."

Of course, we can't speak a word about the electronic voting machines. The voting machines, as we know, are always reliable, but not the exit polls.

Golly, Gee, I wonder why this is?

Must be something essentially wrong with exit polls.

Just can't trust them.

But the voting machines which have been found by every study ever conducted on them to be totally hackable, insecure, patchable, trivially easy to fraudulently program, run by extreme partisans and in many cases ex-felons, now here's something we can really trust.

There's absolutely no way to know what the real result of either of these elections is when it's over, but you can be sure of one thing: the exit polls are closer to the real result than the machines, and more trustworthy, that is, before they're re-calibrated to match the machine results. So the early results using the raw data, if that ever becomes available, will more than likely give a good idea of how the vote actually went.

[FreeState]

20. CNN Exit polls show Clinton with the win (about 7%)

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/state/#IN

55% of voters women 45% men.

Women voted for Clinton: 53%
Men voted for Clinton: 51%

[Indenturedebtor]

22. Both of these are within moe

Obama always underperforms the exit polls though. Strange phenomenon that started happening aroun 2000 wherever the pukes want a candidate to win, that candidate outperforms exit polls by just enough to win :eyes:

[FreeState]

24. What is the MOE on CNNs? Its not listed? NT

[nsd]

25. Those numbers suggest 4%, not 7%. /nt

[GoesTo11]

27. Where did the 7% come from?

55% x 53% + 51% x 45% is 52.1% (to 47.9%) = 4.2% margin

Are you addding an adjustment for exit poll bias? Are they?

[DemsUnited]

28. Hmm. If this holds close, then the big story of the night is that Obama did well with women.

In Pennsylvania, Clinton won women by 18%.

[Hutzpa]

30. Remember, where you heard it first,

Huffpo are calling Indiana for Obama and thats whats going to
happen.

[mistertrickster]

31. They're wrong too . . . it's already down to 4 percent. nt

[backscatter712]

32. Depending on how Lake County goes, HuffPo may've got it!

Here's hoping...

[CalGator]

33. With 60-65% in Lake County, that would be spot on.

Hopefully the exits were correct.

[Hutzpa]

34. Looks like Huffpost prediction is going to hold n/t