Barack Obama Already Has a Guaranteed Majority of Pledged Delegates

[WeDidIt]

Yes, he currently officially has only 1590.5 pledged delegates and a majority is 1627.

But that ignores the DNC apportionment and viability rules for congressional districts. The viability threshold in each congressional district is 15%. At that threshold, a candidate automatically recieves 1 delegate.

This is an important fact. Barack Obama has never taken less than 15% in any congressional district. Apportionment and viability insures that Obama will receive 1 delegate for each remaining congressional district.

There are 37 remaining congressional districts.

1590.5+37=1627.5

Game Over

So now, Hillary Clinton's only way to alter the outcome is to convince the super delegates to overturn the outcome of the election portion of the nomination process. Something that is certainly valid under the rules.

She can also convince the Rules and Bylaws Committee to move the goal posts by overturning the rules under which both candidates agreed to operate.

Either of those options is a dangerous path in terms of electability.

Edited to correct my second paragraph for accuracy due to post #3.

[WA98296]

1. I ran out of Posts BUT: NEW SD this morning from Montana! (:

Jean Lemire Dahlman, a rancher and National Democratic committeewoman from Forsyth, Montana has just told RAW STORY that she will give Sen. Obama her superdelegate vote.

[WeDidIt]

2. Excellent news! n/t

[mohc]

3. FYI

"Neither of the two conadidates has taken less than 15% in any congressional district."

This is not a true statement, there have been several districts that Clinton received less than 15% in, IL 1 & 2 as examples. But I basically agree with the gist of your post.

[WeDidIt]

4. Thanks. I've edited the OP for accuracy.

[dascientist]

5. K&R

thanks