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Democrats expect to pick up many Republican Senate seats this November

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Flabbergasted Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-10-08 04:13 PM
Original message
Democrats expect to pick up many Republican Senate seats this November
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_senate_elections/oregon/election_2008_oregon_senate2

Smith Still Below 50% in Re-election Bid
Saturday, May 10, 2008

Gordon Smith, United States Senator from Oregon, remains below the 50% level of support for the third straight month in Rasmussen Reports polling. Any incumbent who polls below 50% is considered potentially vulnerable and this month’s polling contains even more bad news for Smith—support for his potential Democratic challengers is increasing.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Oregon voters finds Smith leading Jeff Merkley by just three percentage points, 45% to 42%. In late March, he enjoyed a thirteen point lead. In February, he was ahead of Merkley by eighteen points.

When matched against Steve Novick, Smith leads by six percentage points, 47% to 41%. In the March poll, Novick trailed by eleven. In February, the gap was thirteen points.

Against either Democrat, Smith enjoys his strongest support among voters over 65.

Smith is far from the only Republican incumbent in trouble and Democrats expect to pick up many Republican Senate seats this November. High on the list are contests in Virginia, New Hampshire, New Mexico, Colorado, and Alaska. Other potentially vulnerable Republican incumbents can be found in Minnesota, Kentucky and Texas.

Underlying the growing number of vulnerable GOP Senators is the fact that more and more Americans are coming to consider themselves as Democrats. The latest tracking data released by Rasmussen Reports shows that Democrats now have a ten-percentage point advantage over Republicans in terms of partisan identification. Democrats are also trusted more than Republicans on most key issues tracked regularly by Rasmussen Reports. One of the only rays of hope for the GOP this season is that their presidential candidate, John McCain, outperforms the Republican party label on key issues such as the Economy and the War in Iraq.

In Oregon, Smith is viewed favorably by 55% of the state’s voters, Novick by 46%, and Merkley by 42%. The numbers for both Democrats are trending up.

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Narkos Donating Member (919 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-10-08 04:21 PM
Response to Original message
1. Mmmmmmmmmm.....good
Finally the nightmare will be over
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pnorman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-10-08 04:48 PM
Response to Reply #1
11. "Finally the nightmare will be over"
That brings to mind what Thomas Jefferson had written of a similar period: "A little patience, and we shall see the reign of witches pass over, their spells dissolve, and the people, recovering their true sight, restore their government to it's true principles. It is true that in the mean time we are suffering deeply in spirit, and incurring the horrors of a war & long oppressions of enormous public debt." http://odur.let.rug.nl/~usa/P/tj3/writings/brf/jefl122.htm

Here's another website worth reading: http://www.runet.edu/~wkovarik/misc/blog/9freespeech.html

pnorman
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Narkos Donating Member (919 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-10-08 08:28 PM
Response to Reply #11
13. TJ was ahead of his time, and probably foresaw a lot of
wickedness in our future. Amazing that the Rethuglicans claim he was a conservative! Thanks for the links.
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FrenchieCat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-10-08 04:23 PM
Response to Original message
2. This is how we will have a governing majority in both houses of congress
in 2009.

can't wait for the first SOTU address from President Barack Obama.
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spartan61 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-10-08 04:24 PM
Response to Original message
3. What about Susan Collins in Maine?
I was under the impression that she is highly vulnerable and her name isn't on this list.
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myrna minx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-10-08 04:27 PM
Response to Original message
4. I will not rest until Norm Coleman is booted from Paul Wellstone's seat. n/t
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USA_1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-10-08 05:08 PM
Response to Reply #4
12. Coleman Suxx
Edited on Sat May-10-08 05:09 PM by USA_1
But, in truth, I don't see him losing that Senate seat. The GOP desperately wants to preserve that seat and, so far, I have not heard of any Democratic party criticism of Coleman or any effort to dislodge him. In addition, I fail to see any real campaign at this point to prove that the Dems really want to support its potential candidates for that position.

Hope I'm wrong but Kiss Ass Coleman has sucked up so much that it appears his tenure in the Senate will be a long one.
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jesus_of_suburbia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-10-08 04:28 PM
Response to Original message
5. Even the THOUGHT of it makes me so happy!
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-10-08 04:30 PM
Response to Original message
6. I hope we lose a seat from CT when it comes time to caucusing.
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hfojvt Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-10-08 04:30 PM
Response to Original message
7. We can hope
but I am surprised to see Alaska on a list because they are one of the reddest of the red. Minnesota, OTOH, should be a slam dunk for Democrats, but that's what I thought last time too. I thought Mondale would crush Coleman. I think Coleman sold himself as a moderate though, and the press made a big deal out of Wellstone's memorial.

My county chair was talking at the last meeting as if Roberts is vulnerable in Kansas even. Which I find hard to believe. The state party might be optimistic too, since we have two candidates running for Senate whereas the last time Roberts ran we didn't even have one.

This may be the stronger candidate, although I was happy to see Jones run again.
http://www.slatteryforsenate.com/?home
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bhikkhu Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-10-08 04:31 PM
Response to Original message
8. That's great...and I voted for Merkle in the primary
I don't know why Smith was ever so popular as to have become a fixture here. Looking forward to November for many reasons now!
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TragedyandHope Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-10-08 04:32 PM
Response to Original message
9. We're taking back our country!
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Cirque du So-What Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-10-08 04:32 PM
Response to Original message
10. Recommended - and not just because of the doggie picture
Supermajority, here we come! Probably not this year, but we're working on it.
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DeepModem Mom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-10-08 09:03 PM
Response to Original message
14. K&R!
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