Keep your eyes on Nebraska's Tuesday Primary (more at stake than you think)

[Omaha Steve]

It is one of the few chances this year to test what Senator Clinton has said about primaries being her forte. Senator Obama (presumed nominee) won big in our first ever caucus in February. The votes in the primary won't count for delegates. It will show IF Senator Clinton is right about organization or IF she is gaining momentum in the home stretch. I'll be glued to my screen watching results all Tuesday night.

[WillYourVoteBCounted]

1. North Carolina was a primary, we had about 2 million turnout

and you see how it went.

You can do it! We worked hard to get out the vote across the state.
I canvassed and I know that each and every canvasser made a difference.

People were glad to have someone care enough to come to their neighborhood.

[gristy]

2. What is the Nebraska primary result used for?

[Omaha Steve]

6. The primary was negated by the caucus

The primary must still be held under state law. So delegates aren't at stake. Only pride. Predictions are for a 27% voter turnout statewide. We will still be deciding on the Democratic candidates for the fall like US Senate, Congress, state offices, etc...



http://www.omaha.com/index.php?u_page=2835&u_sid=10329699

Secretary of State predicts 27 percent turnout for Nebraska primary

Published Thursday May 8, 2008

BY LESLIE REED
WORLD-HERALD BUREAU

LINCOLN — Secretary of State John Gale said a lack of high-visibility races and a limited slate of county offices on Tuesday's ballot probably will keep turnout low.

Gale on Thursday predicted a modest turnout — 27 percent — for the primary election.

Douglas County Election Commissioner Dave Phipps is going even lower, predicting a 20 percent turnout in Douglas County.

"I'd rather be optimistic than gloomy, but this obviously is not going to be an impressive turnout for a variety of reasons," Gale said.

However, there appears to be more excitement on the Democratic side. Since January, Democrats have picked up nearly 14,000 more registered voters in Nebraska, while Republicans have lost nearly 5,000, Gale said.

Voter registration in Nebraska stands at slightly more than 1.1 million. The GOP accounts for 550,581, or 49 percent of the total. Democrats, with 372,864, account for 33 percent. The balance are independents (184,437) and small parties (9,609).

FULL story at link.

[rurallib]

8. Is this the one Scott Kleeb is running in?

How's he doing?

[thoughtcrime1984]

3. When the votes don't mean anything, you won't get meaningful results

The only way you'd know for sure is if the primary in NE yielded some delegates.

[mohc]

4. Its really hard to guage true support from a nonbinding primary

Washington state had the same situation. Obama won both the caucus and primary, but won the advisory primary by a much smaller margin. That however was not evidence in an off itself of Obama's caucus advantage. The fact that the vote does not count has a dramatic impact on the levels of turnout. The only true test we saw was in Texas which had a caucus and primary which both counted. Obama won the caucus but lost the primary, with a shift of about 13.6% between the two.

[Cirque du So-What]

5. Since Sen. Obama did so well in the caucus,

Nebraska must be virtually devoid of working-class white people :shrug: Who knew?
Disclaimer: this is, of course, :sarcasm:

[gbrenna]

7. There is no 'game changer' coming.

It's over. I could not care a less what Clinton does at this point except Only, I hope she quits real soon. It's time to get on with the general.

[AllentownJake]

9. The problem with that is

That Obama isn't pooring any money into Nebraska or doing any organizing for a beauty contest. Primaries that don't count are not a measure of support.