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The magic number is now only 18.5 (and falling fast!)

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
 
Stop Cornyn Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 11:58 AM
Original message
The magic number is now only 18.5 (and falling fast!)
Obama currently leads Hillary by 170.5 delegates.

In the remaining primary contests, there are only 217 pledged delegates who have not yet pledged.

After the assignment of 28 pledged delegates from tomorrow’s WV primary, there will be only 189 pledged delegates who have not been assigned.

Hillary will win WV, but both Obama and Hillary will be assigned pledged delegates.

Obama will also accumulate additional super delegates between now and tomorrow night.

If the pledged delegates Obama is awarded out of WV plus the additional super delegates he wins between now and tomorrow night total just 18.5, Obama will lead Hillary by an amount that is more than the remaining pledged delegates who will not have been pledged. Once Obama reaches this number, several currently uncommitted delegates -- including Nancy Pelosi -- will pledge to Obama.
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tridim Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 12:00 PM
Response to Original message
1. He'll meet that number by Thursday.
Seems like it's been about 5 a day since NC.
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Stop Cornyn Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 01:46 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. The magic number's already down to 16.5 just since this morning. Obama gets at least 10 WV delegates
even if Hillary beats him 2-1 in WV.

If Obama gets just 6.5 super delegates from now until tomorrow night, he'll pick up at least 10 pledged delegates from WV (and that 10 delegate assumption would be based on a huge Hillary win), and THAT WOULD PUT OBAMA AHEAD OF CLINTON BY MORE DELEGATES THAT THE TOTAL OF ALL THE REMAINING PLEDGED DELEGATES FROM ALL THE REMAINING PRIMARIES YET TO BE CONDUCTED!!!
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Padem61 Donating Member (3 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 07:31 PM
Response to Reply #2
8. The number is 33
That is how many of the elected delegates it will take to clinch the elected count you can not count the supers in that if you are then it is 150 these numbers are from the Obama site.
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Stop Cornyn Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 03:13 PM
Response to Original message
3. Does anyone doubt that Obama will get at least 7 more super delegates by tomorrow night?
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Czolgosz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 12:56 AM
Response to Reply #3
10. Not me.
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quiet.american Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 03:18 PM
Response to Original message
4. Great news -- just curious -- what counts as a ".5" delegate, instead of a full one?
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FunkyLeprechaun Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 03:20 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. I think that's Democrats Abroad
They only counted as a half delegate, if I'm wrong.
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Stop Cornyn Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 06:13 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. Yes, that's it.
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quiet.american Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 08:32 PM
Response to Reply #5
9. Thanks much for that info. nt
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Czolgosz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 07:10 PM
Response to Original message
7. It would be ironic if West Virginia puts Obama over the top.
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