Obama 51, McCain 44.
Clinton 49, McCain 46.
No Rush for Clinton to Go, but it's Still Advantage Obama
Poll Shows 64 Percent of Dems Say Clinton Should Remain in the RaceANALYSIS by GARY LANGER
May 12, 2008
Pushing back against political punditry, more than six in 10 Democrats say there's no rush for Hillary Clinton to leave the presidential race – even as Barack Obama consolidates his support for the nomination and scores solidly in general-election tests.
That's not a majority endorsement of Clinton's candidacy;
Democrats by a 12-point margin would rather see Obama as the nominee, a lead that's held steadily in ABC News/Washington Post polls since early March. Instead it reflects a rejection of the notion that the drawn-out contest will hurt the party's prospects. Seventy-one percent think it'll either make no difference in November (56 percent) or actually help the party (15 percent).
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OBAMA and NOVEMBER – For his part,
Obama, who surpassed Clinton on electability last month, now has knocked down another of her campaign's tent posts, for the first time slipping ahead of her as the "stronger leader." Her sole remaining advantage is on experience – a challenge in a contest in which Obama's theme of "change" has far outstripped experience as the attribute of top concern for Democrats.
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FACTORS –
Age continues to look like a major hurdle for McCain. Thirty-nine percent of Americans say they'd be uncomfortable with a president first taking office at age 72, far more than say they'd be uncomfortable with a woman (16 percent) or African-American (12 percent) as president.
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This poll — like the last ABC News/Washington Post survey —
finds no apparent damage to Obama in the controversy over his former pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright. Six in 10 Americans, and 73 percent of Democrats, say Obama has done "the right amount" to distance himself from Wright, rather than too little or too much.
In another measure, 26 percent say the more they hear about Obama the more they like him – more than say that about Clinton (15 percent) or McCain (14 percent). Obama's the only one among them to have gained as much as he's lost in the recent public glare. http://abcnews.go.com/PollingUnit/Vote2008/Story?id=4837828&page=1 Obama leads McCain on trust to handle the economy by 10 points!
Obama leads McCain on trust to handle gas prices by 20 points!
Obama leads McCain on trust to handle health care by 24 points!
AND
"On personal attributes Obama leads by wide margins as being better able to bring needed change, having the better temperament for the job, better empathy and a clearer vision for the future. "
"Also, in head-to-head matchups against Obama, McCain scores very well in experience, knowledge of world affairs and trust to handle terrorism; he's roughly even with Obama on leadership, ethics and trust to handle the war in Iraq, and he's closed the gap on immigration. "Here is the PDF of the poll.
http://www.abcnews.go.com/images/PollingUnit/1064a208Election.pdfMcCain has been coasting and Obama has been getting beat up so this poll is looking damn fine right now. :D
"Most fundamentally, the country's roughly divided on whether "strength and experience" or "new ideas and a new direction" are more important in the presidential election. Currently "strength and experience" voters favor McCain by 68-27 percent, while those more concerned with "new ideas and a new direction" favor Obama by an even broader margin, 79-18 percent. Just as these choices have driven the Democratic nominating contest, so they likely will in the general election. "We've seen how well that argument worked in the Primaries.