Plaid Adder's recent post is relevant also--one statistician agrees that 2000 and 2004 strategies won't work for us this time regardless of who the nominee is.
http://progressillinois.com/2008/05/11/features/obama-over-the-topDuring an April 25 conference call to unveil the Obama campaign's 50-state voter registration drive, deputy campaign manager Steve Hildebrand sounded genuinely exasperated as he tried to steer reporters to the topic at hand.
Despite his best efforts, those on the call didn't request any further details about the effort. No one posed questions about the drive's goals or how the campaign thinks it could affect Obama's general election prospects. Instead, they brought up the latest distractions: What does the campaign make of Jeremiah Wright's new comments? Are advisers worried that Obama has a problem attracting working-class white voters? And so on.
The media's lack of interest is hardly surprising. While voter registration drives are invaluable, they're also dry and tedious – not that exciting to participate in or to write about.
But some new data indicates that, come November 5, we may find ourselves looking back at this year's intensive voter mobilization efforts as what put Obama – and down-ballot Democrats nationwide – over the top.