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Lower than expected turnout and 7% unwilling to vote for either participating candidate.

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
 
last1standing Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 10:32 PM
Original message
Lower than expected turnout and 7% unwilling to vote for either participating candidate.
I told another DUer yesterday that Hillary's place on the ticket would depend not on her winning percentage in WV but the total number of voters who cast their ballots for her. The answer for any political novice is now clear. Hillary can win places like WV and KY in the primaries but she will never get them in the general election. This means that she is not only NOT the stronger candidate in the GE but would not even make a good VP choice. Sure more West Virginians like her more than Obama, but it is apparent that they still don't like her all that much.

This was not a good night for the Clinton camp.
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FrenchieCat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 10:33 PM
Response to Original message
1. That's how I'm looking at it.....
Hell Obama conceded the day before! LOL!
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jsamuel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 10:34 PM
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2. if the trend continues (still only at 72% counted), WV will average about 20% more turnout
than the average state's turnout so far this primary compared to Kerry 2004 votes.
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last1standing Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 10:37 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. The estimates were based on the percentage of increases from other states.
Some thought the number could go as high as 500k and yet we're looking at closer to 300k at this point. The end result of the WV primary will be to show that it is not a good state for the Dems to use for any sort of marker. That hurts Hillary's chances of getting the VP nod.
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