Mark. My. Words.

[The Doctor.]

For all of you that are watching 'the polls' that tell you, here in May, who's 'more likely' to win the General Election against McCain in November, I'm going to lay a prediction down for you all.

Now, I'm seldom wrong about most things (IMHO), although I'm occasionally misconstrued for trying to say something in too few or too many words. So I'm going to go out on a limb and lay this out double-plus-good clear;

"Within a MONTH of the Democratic candidate for President being confirmed, McCain will trail the Democrat by no less than 5 points, and it will be nothing but downhill for McCain from there."*

I say this with the understanding that the corporate media will do their level best to elevate McCain above his own ineptitude and unpopular positions, and knowing that there will be many different polls. I'll even be willing to bet the average of those polls will bear this out.

I just believe that when the ambiguity of the primary is washed away, and one, competent and substantial candidate is presented to the American people, they will acknowledge not only their viability, but the drastically optimistic message they will bring in contrast to McCain.

As most of you know, I believe that Obama will bring a straight ticket bloodbath to Republicans this November. I have little doubt that Clinton would cream him as well. Either Way, McCain and the Republicans are toast.


* Barring a catastrophe, of course.

[havocmom]

1. yep

K&R

[tyne]

2. He already is...

"Within a MONTH of the Democratic candidate for President being confirmed, McCain will trail the Democrat by no less than 5 points, and it will be nothing but downhill for McCain from there."*

[The Doctor.]

3. Honestly, I was tempted to say something closer to 9.... but the point

was that all these people that are saying that "Obama/Clinton CAN'T beat McCain" don't know what they're talking about.

I'd actually go so far as to say that Obama will be ahead by as much as 10 points within the first month of being confirmed.

[corkhead]

7. I agree. The only reason it isn't going to be much bigger is the corporate media will prop up McCain

like Weekend at Bernie's

[underpants]

4. Not to count chickens but I agree

The 3 recent wins plus the throttling they took in the 2006 election (worst loss ever) means that the Repubs are out of gas. They have nothing.

Recommended

[Aloha Spirit]

8. +1. out of gas.

[JCMach1]

10. The only thing that could save McCain is the electoral college map...

In all seriousness though, I don't think Grandpaw is up for the race. The more senior moments (wait until one happens in a debate) and McCain is done.

[underpants]

16. Frank Rich column last Sunday

he mentions how everyone is taking for granted how all this suits McCain when actually that clustercluster has not been exposed to the light yet and from what we have seen (Shiite/Sunni gas tax) there are a car full of guys in colorful suits and big shoes.

You and I know about it but when it becomes a weekly thing people are going to see that he isn't an option. The pukes are going to have a repeat of the 70's -retreat into think tanks and come up with some more empty rhetoric talking points.

Last few paragraphs
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/04/27/opinion/27rich.html?_r=1&oref=slogin

oh and McCain--lobbyists run his campaign---lobbyists FOR Myanmer run his campaign...that is 30 seconds of TV gold right there.

[verges]

22. Oh lord,

how I hope that happens!

[NatBurner]

5. consider. them. marked.

[ima_sinnic]

6. I so agree--and the gnashing of teeth and wringing of hands over "Obama will lose the GE"

is nothing but wishful thinking on the part of Clinton "supporters" who are deeply disappointed that their candidate McSame will not be running against Hillary -- who, though I dislike her intensely, I suppose would also beat him, but not as decisively as Obama will. With her, far too many repukes would crawl on hands and knees over broken glass and razor wire for the chance to vote AGAINST her. Obama does not inspire this level of animosity and motivation to vote against.

[The Doctor.]

12. The instance that convinced me;

My Republican Faux-News watching mother, who has never voted for a Democrat in her life, and would sooner immolate herself than vote for Clinton, said she is planning to vote for Obama.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x5486047

Seriously... if Obama can pull them around, it's going to be a landslide.

[Flying Dream Blues]

33. Wow...that's the stuff! Go mom! nt

[Creideiki]

38. I agree. The homophobe and anti-gay bigot vote is definitely in his core constituency

[bearfan454]

14. exactly

She is very disliked by a lot of people.

[nomaco-10]

9. When Obama gets to bring his own particular...

shine to the GE, he will win over tons of voters. But, not until he can break away from her and the negative glare she brings to everyone around her.

I have a term I use for people like her, "oxygen suckers". They suck all the air out of the room and everyone is left too exhausted to think about anything else.

[The Doctor.]

13. Check this out... you're absolutely right;

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x5486047

[rurallib]

11. the economy will kill all republiKlans

they will try to blame it all on the Dems (they wouldn't let us drill in ANWR). But most people will add up $4gas, high food prices, a health care system that they can't use and republicans in charge of the WH for 8 years and the congress for 14 years and say - any change will have to be better.
And Mac isn't smart enough to address economy questions.

[Left coast liberal]

15. I agree with you but they will prop McCain up and try to steal it anyway!

Vigilance!

[The Doctor.]

18. They'll try.

They must fail this time, for if they don't, they will have forced the people to finally give up on pursuing legal solutions.

[Voice for Peace]

17. Marking your words.

[Coexist]

19. I agree - and my biggest concern is

that Dem voters will get overconfident and not feel pressured to get to the polls on election day.

[FrenchieCat]

20. I have a feeling that Democrats will not be sitting on their hands come

November in reference to voting.

This will be an historic election, and I believe that folks will want to have a say.....especially Democrats.

The 21st century is waiting for us to get there. That day in November will be when we finally arrive.

[CK_John]

21. McCain is just a place holder, They will run a ringer like CJ J Roberts or Lynne Cheney. n/t

[Flying Dream Blues]

34. Shirley you jest! :) Lynne Cheney? Darth as first lady? I hope they DO run her.

Roberts and his creepy family scare me a little, though. He's so WHOLESOME looking, with his loving wife and beautiful adopted Latin American children.
:evilfrown:
edited because I never get smilies right the first time

[Jacobin]

23. There's a political betting site where you can actually put

your money where your mouth is.

http://www.intrade.com/jsp/intrade/contractSearch/

Right now the money is on Obama.

I'm still a little too chicken to bet on it, but I'm hopeful

[The Doctor.]

32. Wow... where was this in '06?

I would have made a killing.

[Stuart G]

24. Of course you are right...K and R nt

[casus belli]

25. While I agree with the basic premise, it depends largely on Veep choice. n/t

[The Doctor.]

35. so who fits the bill?

[QC]

26. I . loathe . the . period . between . words . affectation

that is lately sweeping through DU like typhoid through a tenement block.

That is all.

[The Doctor.]

31. It comes and goes... I really don't pay attention, nor do I do it often...

But. If. It. Is. A. Problem. For. You. I. Recommend. Breathing. Exercises.

;)

[Wapsie B]

27. Other than the obvious dirty tricks campaigns of the gop the one factor is Diebold

and its counterparts in the election process. I know some states have de-certified Diebold and removed their machines (hopefully anyway). But has any real progress been made on who counts the votes and how they are counted?

[lastliberalintexas]

28. And that, my friend, is my greatest fear at this point

"* Barring a catastrophe, of course."

Because it's looking more and more like that is the only way the republicans win in November. What exactly will the October Surprise be?

[Cosmocat]

29. A terrorist attack ...

I have been saying this for almost a year now, the ONLY thing that prevents a D presidency is a terrorist attack here in the states ... THAT would throw the MSM into the right wing talking points full speed ahead, and it WOULD be spun as them there terrorist seeing the US as weak with democrats on the verge of gaining power ...

[liberalla]

52. My greatest concern is some sort of catastrophe, also

I keep thinking that:
if we are allowed to have elections, and
if we make it to Inauguration Day, and
if a Democrat is sworn in,
then we can be optimistic about the future.

After that, we'll still have very serious problems to address, but I'll feel a whole lot better knowing the Democrats are in charge.

[rucky]

30. I'm with the Doc on this one.

[Flying Dream Blues]

36. My favorite post of the day. nt

[Swamp Rat]

37. Bushler will declare war on Iran, and bomb the crap outta them in the middle of the night.

The October Surprise.



*Good thing you put in the disclaimer. ;)

[The Doctor.]

49. I ain't no fool.

[TexasLady]

39. Positive and Upbeat. That's what we need 'round here!

Great post.

[The Doctor.]

42. I refuse to believe that anything more than a tiny fraction of Clinton or Obama

supporters are so petty and vindictive that they will not vote for either of them in November. Granted, some of the Clinton people have really gone off the deep end, but they're a small group of really loud nutcases.

I just hope that they'll come back to their senses before they start spouting off against the Dem nominee and get banned. Most of them have been DUers since before dirt was in beta testing*, and it would be a shame to see them kicked.

*stolen from Tandalayo Scheisskopf

[windbreeze]

40. I noticed that....

small print....does terrorist attack/martial law qualify?...will they really run McCain?...they have NO confidence in him, and can't stand him....nothing is written in stone, until the convention...will they let him run, just to lose?(who will they pick for his VP?)...I trust them about as far as I can throw them and I doubt they are going to allow us to go ahead and win this election by a landslide, and with NO controversy, or stolen votes....I suspect they are up to something...wb

[The Doctor.]

41. I doubt they'll outright yank his candidacy for a pinch-hitter.

More likely, they'll have an "event", declare martial law, suspend elections, and then install McCain by special appointment to create the appearance of "peacefull transistion".

[windbreeze]

51. or perhaps

McCain will stroke, have a recurring bout with cancer, or heart attack...it will be very interesting to see who his VP is...but....doesn't martial law cancel the constitution?...and wouldn't that eliminate the need for a change?....see, I don't think they want McCain in there, I don't think they ever did...I think he was picked to lose, or he was picked to run, yet never be president..so they could finally get rid of him once and for all(in some way)...in any case...the next few months will be quite interesting, methinks...wb

[VotesForWomen]

43. OMG! that's the funniest thing i've heard in a LOOOONG time. nt

[charlie]

46. You're certain Hillary would get shellacked, then?

Slow down. Read. Then type.

[The Doctor.]

53. How sexist of you.

That kind of sexism should be banned from DU.

[JerseygirlCT]

44. I like those words! nt

[swishyfeet]

45. Agreed. AND I think the MSM's is ready to go after McSame

NOBODY in this country wants 4 more years, and the public and enormous $$ behind Obama will make sure McCain faces the music.

Just MHO.

[Bensthename]

47. MSM will continue to try and keep the race close for their ratings

$$ is more important to them then any issue.. This has become very clear over the last few elections.

[zulchzulu]

48. A buddy of mine who goes to RNC meetings says they are already looking at 2010

He's told me that McCain will BE WORSE than Bob Dole by the time the fall rolls around. He's going to be attacked from all sides...and his temper will turn off a lot of people.

The GOP is going to get spanked hard this year. Some GOP leadership want Bush to have a small speech at the Convention and definitely don't want Cheney on stage. Rummy getting invited? I doubt it...

[The Doctor.]

50. So much of what they try this year will backfire...

and against Obama, They'll simply bury themselves.