States I believe Obama will put in play.

[Drunken Irishman]

He may not win 'em all, but he'll win a few of them.

Alaska - When did the Democrats last win this one? Probably been a while, but I think Obama has a real good shot at it. Alaska has 3 electoral votes.

Colorado - This is a swing state I think will go to Obama. Colorado has 9 electoral votes.

Georgia - Probably a long-shot, but still a state Obama could pull a stunner in. Georgia has 15 electoral votes.

Indiana - The latest poll had Obama tied with McCain. This is a state that generally goes Republican, but it won't be a McCain blowout. Obama could surprise here. Indiana has 11 electoral votes.

Missouri - Tough state to win, but if there is really high turnout in St. Louis and Kansas City, it's doable. It's a key state, as Missouri almost always decides the winner. Missouri has 11 electoral votes.

Nebraska - The last poll had Obama within 3 here. I don't know if he could win it, but it's definitely in play. Nebraska has 5 electoral votes.

Nevada - Another western state that looks good for Obama. Nevada has 5 electoral votes.

New Mexico - The Dems lost this state in 2004, but I think it goes to them this year. New Mexico has 5 electoral votes.

Montana - Believe it or not, I think this state goes Obama in the general. I don't have anything to base it on other than he's running really well in polls there. Montana has 3 electoral votes.

North Carolina - Obama is essentially tied in the last poll here and I think this is a state that very likely could flip. North Carolina has 15 electoral votes.

North Dakota - Sounds far-fetched, but Obama does pretty well against McCain in head-to-head polls from this state. I don't know if he can win, but he'll make it close. ND has 3 electoral votes.

South Carolina - Less likely than North Carolina, but Obama should keep it close. South Carolina has 8 electoral votes.

Virginia - This could be the year Virginia votes Democratic in the general. Keep your fingers crossed. Virginia has 13 electoral votes.

That's 106 electoral votes up for grabs and all of them in states Bush won in 2004. This doesn't mean Obama will win 'em all, in fact, I doubt he does, but if these states are in play, it means the Republicans will have to throw more money than they want at 'em to keep them Republican.

If this happens, we could be looking at an electoral college blowout. Hopefully it happens!

[BOSSHOG]

1. Why not Mississippi and Louisiana??

I hope they go (D) in November in a big way.

[onehandle]

4. Not a chance. nt

[Drunken Irishman]

5. Obama does have a chance in LA, I don't think much of one in Miss., though.

[BOSSHOG]

I'm much more optimistic

and I see the dynamic changing mightily in both those states in the next five and a half months.

[NatBurner]

16. after katrina? don't count on it

miss and la are MAD AS HELL

[featherman]

2. Obama has a good shot at a 3-2 split in Nebraska

[rinsd]

6. NE doesn't do winner take all?

[democrattotheend]

7. Nope. By Congressional District.

So does Maine.

[rinsd]

10. Thanks, I knew a few states did that. Didn't CO consider that last election?

[featherman]

9. No.. like Maine they split the EV's according to Congressional District

[Bok_Tukalo]

Nebraska and Maine are congressional district + at large

I believe.

[onehandle]

3. South Carolina, North Carolina - No. Georgia, Virginia - very longshots. Missouri - maybe. nt

[ej510]

14. If blacks have a high turn out democrats could win every year.

In the states of NC, SC, GA, VA, AL, LA.,

[onehandle]

19. I've been saying that all of my life here in Georgia.

But it won't happen. The laws...the very living environment here in the South is designed to keep minorities and the poor away from the polls.

And now SCOTUS gives us the ID ruling.

Obama will win, but the South will stay red.

[Gato Moteado]

8. i think he could win colorado, missouri, new mexico and possibly nevada.....

....i don't think he can win the other ones listed.

[Drunken Irishman]

11. Could be right, but that's enough to tilt the election.

I think, even though many don't agree, Obama will carry PA and Ohio and that'll be enough to throw him the election.

He'll do very well in the west.

[FSogol]

12. With Barr in the race, a lot of GOP strongholds may be split.

We'll win some new areas for sure.

[Zachstar]

13. Louisiana is likely going for Obama as well.

Yes it heavily favors McCain now but there is still lots of confusion over Clinton. After things settle Obama is rapidly going to gain ground here.

The only thing McCain can get gains from is Barksdale AFB influence.

[george_maniakes]

15. Anyone know which states that are not winner-take-all in the general election? n/t

[BenDavid]

17. Get real. In those red states you still have the number one problem

obama faces in some of the usual blue states he is having trouble in. And what is that problem? Since the obama folks have turned this into white and black, it is the "uneducated whites" MOST of you seem to demean. But, when is the truth wrong? if the biggest voting block in America, uneducated whites, won't have him, then dems are in trouble. Unless Obama gets much stronger on his own, he'll need Clinton more than ever in November. Plus, he's not winning the Hispanic vote either---nowhere!

[blogslut]

18. I think you left one out

I could be wrong. The possibility is a longshot but there's one state that Obama just might carry come November. If that happens, well, it will be a hell of a thing. ;)

[Connie_Corleone]

I think Georgia will be a shocker this year.

Massive African-American turnout there could bring Obama a win in that state. Virginia could be the same.

[featherman]

20. Out west I concur and re-emphasize about CO, NM, NV, ND, MT in roughly

that order of probability. Clinton carried all except ND in 1992 although that was with Perot in the race bleeding away Libertarian type votes