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I am quite concerned that Clinton is going to be ahead in the popular vote on June 3.
The popular vote IS important, even though if one thoroughly understands the math it is an inaccurate metric. Congresswoman Lynn Woolsey of California has endorsed Clinton but says she will vote at the convention for the winner of the popular vote, excluding Michigan.
I don't want lots of people out there with the perception that the Democratic nomination contest has been a repeat of the 2000 Gore/Bush race, with OBAMA in the role of Bush. It will give lots of people cause for feeling aggrieved and angry.
The RealClearPolitics website totals up the vote 6 ways: with and without the estimated caucus attendance in NV, IA, ME, and WA, with and without the 4 caucuses plus FL, and with and without the 4 caucuses plus FL and MI. When they add in MI, they give Obama 0 votes.
Currently, in one of the 6 totals, WITH FL and MI, but without the estimates from the 4 states that never reported attendance totals, Clinton is now in the lead by 29,471 votes.
It is possible that HRC could overtake Obama in more of these columns, if she gets a large margin in Kentucky and Puerto Rico. I see it as VERY likely she will then take it to the convention. (even if she does not, and gracefully concedes in June, she will be perceived as the Gore to Obama's Bush, giving in even though she actually won)
Obama will most likely still get the nomination, since the delegates understand the caucus/primary math problem. But the widespread perception that he lost the popular vote will cloud Obama's nomination. It will lead to endless arguments, all summer long, on how Michigan's votes should be counted.
I strongly believe that Obama will have a much easier and clearer path to the nomination if, after everyone votes, he leads in all 6 popular vote permutations. I think it is a worthy goal.
I am dismayed, angry, and aghast that Obama has prematurely begun focusing on the general election, visitng Michigan, Florida, and Missouri. He should be campaigning full speed in Kentucky, Oregon, Montana, South Dakota, and Puerto Rico.
Clinton is behind by 140+ pledged delegates due to her campaign's hubris and arrogance in believing that they did not need to pay attention to small caucus states in February. I feel like Obama's campaign may now be declaring premature victory due to hubris and arrogance, and it may lead to enormous problems for Obama.
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