Republicans fear Obama victory after polls shock

[Triana]

The language of the internal party memo was stark and brutally honest. Sent out by Republican congressman Tom Davis last week after a stunning congressional by-election loss in the Deep South, it warned colleagues of a potential disaster ahead.

The result, in which the Democratic party won a Mississippi House of Representatives seat that had voted 62 per cent for President Bush in 2004, was a sign of a 'toxic' political environment for Republicans, Davis wrote. He went on to point out the loss was the Republicans' third defeat in a row in special elections - the equivalent of a by-election in Britain - this year alone. Davis's memo dubbed the defeats 'canaries in the coalmine' for the survival of the Republican party.

A Democratic win in such a solidly conservative district capped a week in which Senator Barack Obama finally turned his eyes to the coming November election and his opponent, John McCain. Now many Democrats believe the signs are good that the tide of American public opinion is firmly swinging their way and will deliver them the White House. Certainly, many of the key indicators are giving them strong grounds for optimism.

A recent Quinnipiac University Polling Institute survey showed that a staggering 82 per cent of Americans are unhappy with the direction that the country is heading. At the same time the faltering economy, and especially high petrol prices, are a major concern. 'Overwhelmingly, voters think the economy is in bad shape,' said Maurice Carroll, Quinnipiac's polling director. Obama is now leading McCain in recent national polls by an average of four points.

The results in Mississippi showed Republican voters were willing to vote for a Democratic candidate in areas where the party would normally assume it had no chance. The fight was especially significant as the Republican candidate, Greg Davis, ran a campaign aggressively linking his opponent, Travis Childers, to Obama and the controversy over his former pastor, the Rev Jeremiah Wright. If Obama was looking for reassurance that Wright's outspoken and radical views had not damaged his chances, then Childers's victory provided it.

MORE...

http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2008/may/18/johnmccain.barackobama

[Faygo Kid]

1. He will be president. So long as he stays safe.

I have never felt more strongly confident in any candidate for president.

Despite the Hillary bitter-enders and the Hannity haters, Obama will be president. McCain has no shot, not in this environment. The contrast in the first debate will end it.

He is an African-American progressive, and I am old enough to remember the '60s and all that happened vividly. That's my fear.

He's my hope.

[Cha]

15. Those around Obama will have

to make sure he stays SAFE.

[BlooInBloo]

28. Yeah - because the Secret Service sure won't.

[Window]

21. Two cuties.

:loveya:

[Carrieyazel]

29. Obama isn't guaranteed an election win. Not by a long shot.

He has to still overcome a great deal to win. McCain has as good a shot as any to run against the tide. The roughest patches are still ahead.

[TwilightGardener]

2. They are shitting their pants, as I have long predicted.

[Triana]

3. Well, hopefully in November, we can send them a truckload of Huggies, a big box of..

...baby wipes, and send them on their way towards the big diaper pail with their brush-clearing equipment and fishing poles.

[TwilightGardener]

4. LOL! David Vitter can lend his colleagues some, I'm sure.

[Johnny__Motown]

6. Disposable diapers are bad for the environment.. just hose the bastards off. it is all they deserve

[Triana]

8. Yes. BIG hose! n/t

[BadgerKid]

18. Nah, conserve the water.

Letting them ferment on their own for a while will give them something to think about.

[Triana]

20. Wouldn't stink any worse than they already do. Huh. n/t

[stevietheman]

26. Yeah, that's change they deserve! hahahaha! :) n/t

n/t

[blogslut]

5. They got nothin' and they know it

It's not whether they will be whipped, it's how badly they will be whipped. We are going to take it all and it's time we start acting like it.

[Greenwood]

7. Really? McCain up by 3 over Obama in Gallup....

Hillary is our best chance.

[FrenchieCat]

9. Wait till Obama can campaign more actively against McCain

like he just did!

See this and understand what the commercials are going to look like for the fall:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=385&topic_id=134023&mesg_id=134023

Obama is going to kick McCain's ass.......using the truth.

[Adelante]

11. RCP Averages: Obama up 3.8% over McCain; Clinton up 1.8% over McCain

RCP Average
Obama
47.2
McCain
43.4
Obama +3.8

General Election: McCain vs. Clinton
RCP Average
Clinton
46.2
McCain
44.4
Clinton +1.8

Democratic Presidential Nomination
RCP Average
Obama
49.0
Clinton
41.8
Obama +7.2

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/polls/

[skipos]

14. Yep. There are those pesky numbers that refute yet another Hillary Inc lie. nt

[JackORoses]

12. somewhere in Buttfuck, Alabama, they are waiting on you to sing "Proud to be American", Lee

Don't you think you should be on your way?

[peacebaby3]

23. I can assure you there is no Buttfuck, Alabama. Do you honestly think AL

would allow a town to be named Buttfuck? Good lord, right-wing christians would go insane.

It's also not very nice to speak ill of an entire state when you don't know who might be posting here from that state.

[JackORoses]

32. I actually like Alabama. I was just ribbing ol' Lee Greenwood here.

could have just as easily been Buttfuck, Texas...my home state

[peacebaby3]

33. Fair enough. I understand your sentiment. I did laugh a bit thinking about a reaction to a town

named Buttfuck in AL. I'd really like to see it! :evilgrin:

Oh, I met Lee Greenwood as a kid...LOL. He played at the local fair. He was nice and signed an autograph for me. I had no idea what politics was back then! I think back about it and laugh.

[Faygo Kid]

16. It's over. Try to wrap your arms around the truth.

Listen carefully: It's over. Hillary will withdraw soon, and with class.

It's May. By November, should he still be safe, Obama will crush McCain. Sean Hannity and the haters will NOT triumph this time.

It will be one of the greatest days in American history when Barack Obama is inaugurated as the 44th president of the United States.

In fact, it will shake up the world.

McCain up by 3 in May? C'mon.

[The Doctor.]

17. In what Universe?

Once Clinton drops out, McCain will drop like a rock.

Funny you say "our best chance".

[mdmc]

10. 50 states

50 state strategy

[Name removed]

13. Deleted sub-thread

Sub-thread removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.

[mdmc]

27. kick

[4_Legs_Good]

19. It is going to be a very good year for Democrats

The first African American President,

A 60 vote majority in the Senate with a vice-President to break any nutty ties

<180 Republican members of the House.

November is going to be a LOT of fun for us.

David

[Arugula Latte]

22. Little piece of advice for Republicans: Stock up on Depends right now.

You'll need them when you piddle yourself in early November.

[WillYourVoteBCounted]

24. I hope that if we get alot of power, that we

don't sit on the safety valves like the GOP did.

Complete power corrupts.

[RoadRage]

25. A Clinton win was the ONLY HOPE Repugs had in November..

And they know it. That is why Rush was pushing people to vote for her. That's why the corporate run media lightened up on her when they realized she actually might lose the primary (they realized it far to late).

Clinton winning the Primary was the only gift the Republicans had - because it would rally thier base around McCain. But, for the first time in a very long time - the Democrats have decided to take a chance... and I think it will pay off big time in November.

[Carrieyazel]

30. Obama has major flaws as a general election candidate as well.

He's as unelectable a candidate as we could have nominated, so not that much better than Hillary.

[Ian_rd]

31. "Childers is in the same party as a black guy who knows another black guy who said goddamn America!"

:rofl: @ Greg Davis' campaign.

I guess that's the best they can do this year. I really hope it is.