Rothenberg Political Report: Suffolk University poll has been the worst performing

[flpoljunkie]

Monday, May 12, 2008

Few Pollsters Get High Marks in ’08 Presidential Races

By Stuart Rothenberg

I also looked at the so-called RealClearPolitics average in each state, which is available from the Web site with the same name.

Ultimately, I focused on five different polls that have received considerable attention: American Research Group, Rasmussen Reports, the Reuters/Zogby/C-SPAN poll, SurveyUSA and the Suffolk University poll.

The worst-performing poll has been Suffolk.

Suffolk University’s pre-primary survey correctly predicted the winner in only five of nine contests. It was wrong in both New Hampshire primaries, the California Democratic primary and, incredibly, the Democratic primary in Massachusetts, the state where the university is located.

The other five contests in which Suffolk polled, the results were quite good, within a couple of points of the actual results. But in polling, being right about half the time isn’t a record to be proud of.

http://rothenbergpoliticalreport.blogspot.com/2008/05/few-pollsters-get-high-marks-in-08.html

[CreekDog]

1. somebody in New Jersey's head just exploded

again. :rofl:

[MadBadger]

2. They predicted Obama would beat Hillary by 2 in MA

[Alexander]

3. ARG aka "Anyone's Random Guess" isn't very good either.