West Virginia and now Kentucky only states without record turnouts??

[elizm]

I guess that answers the question about WHO has been bringing out all of the voters in this primary.

[AllentownJake]

1. Oregon

will erase any popular vote gains in KY

tonight is another wash.

[elizm]

2. And Oregon is having record turnouts! :)

[featherman]

11. I'm estimating there will be more Oregon voters than Kentucky today

Total OR Dems about 870,000
Turn out @ about 70% = 610,000

Total KY Dems about 1,622,000
Turnout @ about 30% = 487,000

Could be wrong but those are the percentage projections by the two Sec of State offices.

[KoKo]

21. Oregon votes by Mail...so most voted before today...but there were some last minute

"envelope drop offs." :shrug:

[Kittycat]

3. No - just only states with Record Turnouts for Clinton.

Obama has 15 states + DC & VI

[Bread and Circus]

4. Can I have a link to these statistics. It's a fascinating observation.

[elizm]

6. I have a link for Kentucky today...

http://www.kentucky.com/635/story/410470.html

And I remember they called the turnout in WV a 'healthy' turnout but not a record but don't have a link right now. If there were any other states I don't know about them.

[LisaM]

5. Except that Kentucky IS turning out in large numbers

"As they have in other states, they were still showing up like it matters and in record numbers, the CBC's Michael Colton reported from Kentucky."

http://www.cbc.ca/world/story/2008/05/20/primaries-voting.html

[elizm]

8. This link from Kentucky says differently...

http://www.kentucky.com/635/story/410470.html

[LisaM]

10. CBC had it wrong?

Strange, they are usually reliable.

[Lautremont]

14. The key phrase in the CBC piece is actually

"They are showing up like it matters."

[TheDoorbellRang]

17. It's a lot more than in 2004.

Per TheGreenPapers, there were 229,916 voters in the dem primary in 2004. If that was an 18% turnout, there were about 1,277,300 registered democrats in Kentucky then.

So far CNN shows about 475,000 voters, with 72% of the precincts reporting. That seems like a pretty substantial turnout to me. :shrug:

[Thrill]

9. no record turnouts KY. Less than expected

http://www.kentucky.com/635/story/410470.html

[Ichingcarpenter]

15. 25 to 30 percent turnout which is not high but less than expected

Oregon is massive.

[featherman]

7. KY Politics.org: Kentucky lags in new Democratic registration efforts

"So far, Kentucky Democrat registration efforts lag far behind other states

The numbers are eye-popping. Since January, 146,000+ new registered Democrats in Pennsylvania. 122,000+ new Dems and independents in North Carolina.
With two high-profile, rock star-appeal candidates fighting tooth and nail for their party's nomination, Democrats have been making huge voter registration gains across the country. The level of interest and excitement in the Obama-Clinton battle is bringing out a record number of new voters -- and most are signing up as Democrats.

But, apparently, that excitement hasn't hit Kentucky.
It certainly hasn't created traffic jams at Kentucky's county clerks offices. Surprisingly, Democrats in Kentucky have made only marginal gains in voter registration since last November:

11/06/07: DEM = 1,616,586 REP = 1,037,861 OTHER = 186,451 TOTAL = 2,840,898
04/15/08: DEM = 1,622,283 REP = 1,038,245 OTHER = 186,624 TOTAL = 2,847,152

That's a net gain of just over 5,000 registered Democrats.
That's a negligible gain, especially considering the significant Dem victories at the state level last fall and the interest in the Dem nomination fight in other states. "

http://www.kypolitics.org/kypolitics/2008/04/so-far-kentucky.html

[goclark]

12. But, but didn't HC run a big GOTV?

She is such an inspiration to Women, especially Seniors, they should have had record numbers knocking each other diown to vote.

[muryan]

13. Her base is people

who already vote. Obamas base is those who often felt neglected from the process, so when they decide to register in numbers...it shows.

[jsamuel]

16. talk about creating your own reality

WV had a higher turnout than most states this primary with 109% of Kerry 2004 GE votes.

The average this primary was about 75% of Kerry 2004 GE votes.

[MonkeyFunk]

18. I think you're wrong

http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?year=2004&fips=21&off=0&elect=1&f=0

That link shows about 230k democratic voters in the 2004 primary.

CNN is already reporting 450 thousand votes, and that's with 71% reporting. The numbers were less in 2000 and '96. I can't find numbers for 92.

This article says they're expecting recored turnout in KY:

http://www.iht.com/articles/2008/05/21/america/21campaign.php

[book_worm]

19. Over 1,000,000 will turn out in Oregon and Obama will make up his popular vote loss in KY in OR.

[aquarius dawning]

20. If BO were bringing out all of those voters, the popular vote would be lopsided in his favor.

It's not though. How do you account for that if they all came out for him?

[FrenchieCat]

22. States that I have scratched off permanently from my travel plans

for the rest of my life.

[aquarius dawning]

23. I'm sure the people of those states are absolutely hearbroken to hear that

liberals aren't coming to their states.

[FrenchieCat]

24. That's the beauty of it; I don't give a shit what they are......

I'm sure that President Obama will make sure that they get the help that they need however.

[aquarius dawning]

25. He can just barely win the primary. What makes you so sure he can win the general election?

because I would bet money that he can't.