Rasmussen Markets data gives Sen. Obama a 62.0% chance of winning the White House in November

[Douglas Carpenter]

Rasmussen Markets data gives Sen. Obama a 62.0% chance of winning the White House in November

"New polling from Minnesota was released today showing Obama retaining a double digit lead over McCain. Polling released Friday showed Obama with the advantage in both Pennsylvania and New Hampshire. In both states, McCain had the edge a month ago (see summary of recent state-by-state results).

The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator shows Democrats leading in states with 200 Electoral Votes while the GOP has the advantage in states with 189. When “leaners” are included, the Democrats enjoy a 260-240 Electoral College lead. Rasmussen Markets data gives Democrats a 62.0% chance of winning the White House in November (results are updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants). "

"Rasmussen Reports believes the race is over and that Barack Obama will be the nominee of the Democratic Party. We will stop tracking the Democratic race in the near future to focus exclusively on the Obama-McCain match-up. "

link:

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

----------------------------------------

Average of National Polls:

Obama 46.9/McCain 44.0 = Obama + 2.9

Clinton 46.1/McCain 44.9 = Clinton + 1.2

The general election polls averages the latest polls from Gallup Tracking, Rasmussen Tracking, Quinnipiac,ABC News/Wash Post, Democracy Corp, LA Times/Bloomberg, IDBB/TIPP, Battleground

links:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_obama-225.html

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_clinton-224.html

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Gallup: Key Clinton voters are shifting to Obama



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Rasmussen Markets data gives Sen. Obama a 62.0% chance of winning the White House in November:


"New polling from Minnesota was released today showing Obama retaining a double digit lead over McCain. Polling released Friday showed Obama with the advantage in both Pennsylvania and New Hampshire. In both states, McCain had the edge a month ago (see summary of recent state-by-state results).

The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator shows Democrats leading in states with 200 Electoral Votes while the GOP has the advantage in states with 189. When “leaners” are included, the Democrats enjoy a 260-240 Electoral College lead. Rasmussen Markets data gives Democrats a 62.0% chance of winning the White House in November (results are updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants). "

"Rasmussen Reports believes the race is over and that Barack Obama will be the nominee of the Democratic Party. We will stop tracking the Democratic race in the near future to focus exclusively on the Obama-McCain match-up.

link:

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

[phrigndumass]

1. Great news! Intrade has Obama up 20.2% also

:D

[Douglas Carpenter]

5. thanks for always keeping people informed...You're doing a great service

[phrigndumass]

6. Likewise!

:hi:

[jaxx]

2. Sweet

The General Election is now in progress and we are the projected winner. No more of who is the most electable.....we know the answer.....Barack Obama!!


GoBama!

[FreakinDJ]

3. But But But............. The Hilbots insest HRC has more votes

and here we see across every demografic America prefers Obama

OMG OMG......

What is a Hilbot to do????????

[Douglas Carpenter]

4. one kikle

[Douglas Carpenter]

7. one kikle

[GoesTo11]

8. Title distorts the actual data

Rasmussen markets gives Democrats (not Obama) 62% chance of winning the GE.
As of now, gives Obama 58%, Clinton 6.6%, and McCain 37% with some others getting a few more percent (adds up to more than 100% because it's not really an efficient market).

[Douglas Carpenter]

9. "Rasmussen Reports believes the race is over and that Barack Obama will be the nominee of the Democr

from: Sunday, May 25, 2008

"Rasmussen Reports believes the race is over and that Barack Obama will be the nominee of the Democratic Party. We will stop tracking the Democratic race in the near future to focus exclusively on the Obama-McCain match-up. "

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

also from Sunday, May 25, 2008:

" Rasmussen Markets data gives Democrats a 62.2% chance of winning the White House in November (results are updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants)"

link:

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

---------------

from: Sunday, May 25, 2008

"Rasmussen Reports believes the race is over and that Barack Obama will be the nominee of the Democratic Party. We will stop tracking the Democratic race in the near future to focus exclusively on the Obama-McCain match-up. "

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll


also from Sunday, May 25, 2008:

" Rasmussen Markets data gives Democrats a 62.2% chance of winning the White House in November (results are updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants)"

"Rasmussen Reports believes the race is over and that Barack Obama will be the nominee of the Democratic Party. We will stop tracking the Democratic race in the near future to focus exclusively on the Obama-McCain match-up. "


link:

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

[GoesTo11]

10. Confusing Rasmussen Markets and Rasmussen Reports

People are still paying 6.6 cents for a share that returns $1.00 if HRC wins, and 58 cents for an Obama share.

Rasmussen Reports isn't going to ask poll questions about Clinton, but the market price is definitely about Clinton. You can't invoke the market data about one thing and say it's about poll data from somewhere else.

I am glad that both Obama and the Democratic nominee whoever it is both have a good chance of winning, and I hope that goes higher. Just trying to keep you on your game.

[Douglas Carpenter]

11. both quotes come directly from the same exact page -Rasmussen Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

link:
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

It is Rasmussen not me that mixes this data on the same exact page.

The main point I am getting at is that there is a consensus of opinion that the race for the Democratic nomination is over and that Sen. Obama will be the nominee. And that there is a consensus of opinion that Sen. Obama has a much better than even chance of winning the election in November.

I would not bother with any of this if there were not an organized campaign of bald-faced lies to try to trick people into believing that Sen. Obama was unelectable or that there was still a likely possibility that Sen. Clinton could win the nomination--when the evidence is overwhelming to the contrary.

[opihimoimoi]

12. Its still a long way...but I think it will be much higher than the polls suggest.

McShame will age before our eyes...he is already unsteady and at times confused....watch for an increase of Dummyness

[Perry Logan]

13. I, on the contrary, predict a righteous reaming for the Bamanator.

Keep in mind, the Repubs have yet to get into corruption allegations against Obama, which are pretty hair-raising. Some observers even think Obama will be indicted in the Revko case.

Gallup: Clinton leads McCain and Obama

Clinton leads McCain 49-45.
McCain leads Obama 47-45.

Rasmussen:

Clinton leads McCain by 3
McCain leads Obama by 2

Newsweek:

Clinton leads McCain 48-44
McCain and Obama tie 44-44
http://hillary1000.wordpress.com/2008/05/26/bill-clinton-has-never-seen-a-candidate-treated-so-disrespectfully-just-for-running/#more-572