Gallup: Key Clinton voters are shifting to Obama // Average National poll Obama 51.2/Clinton 41.0

[Douglas Carpenter]

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AVERAGE POLL: Obama 51.2/Clinton 41

This is average of polls from Gallup, Rasmussen, Newsweek, Reuters/Zogby,
Quinnipiac and ABC News/Washington Post

link:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/democratic_presidential_nomination-191.html

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Average of National Polls - General Election:

Obama 46.9/McCain 44.0 = Obama + 2.9

Clinton 46.1/McCain 44.9 = Clinton + 1.2

The general election polls averages the latest polls from Gallup Tracking, Rasmussen Tracking, Quinnipiac,ABC News/Wash Post, Democracy Corp, LA Times/Bloomberg, IDBB/TIPP, Battleground

links:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_obama-225.html

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_clinton-224.html

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Rasmussen Markets data gives Sen. Obama a 62.0% chance of winning the White House in November:


"New polling from Minnesota was released today showing Obama retaining a double digit lead over McCain. Polling released Friday showed Obama with the advantage in both Pennsylvania and New Hampshire. In both states, McCain had the edge a month ago (see summary of recent state-by-state results).

The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator shows Democrats leading in states with 200 Electoral Votes while the GOP has the advantage in states with 189. When “leaners” are included, the Democrats enjoy a 260-240 Electoral College lead. Rasmussen Markets data gives Democrats a 62.0% chance of winning the White House in November (results are updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants). "

"Rasmussen Reports believes the race is over and that Barack Obama will be the nominee of the Democratic Party. We will stop tracking the Democratic race in the near future to focus exclusively on the Obama-McCain match-up.

link:

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_pr

[grantcart]

1. Yeah but what about Kentucky??

[me b zola]

7. WV, by god!

:rofl:

[smiley_glad_hands]

2. Sort of blows a hole in all of the hilliots arguments. eom

[Douglas Carpenter]

4. that's a fair statement indeed

[thewiseguy]

3. If Hispanics are switching to Obama then what will happen in Puerto Rico?

[Rosa Luxemburg]

5. I think her lead may be clipped slightly

[Malicefree]

6. Gallup has McCain beating Obama

You forgot that graph.

[Douglas Carpenter]

8. Average national poll Obama 46.9/McCain 44.0=Obama +2.9///Clinton 46.1/McCain 44.9=Clinton + 1.2

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Average of National Polls - General Election:

Obama 46.9/McCain 44.0 = Obama + 2.9

Clinton 46.1/McCain 44.9 = Clinton + 1.2

The general election polls averages the latest polls from Gallup Tracking, Rasmussen Tracking, Quinnipiac,ABC News/Wash Post, Democracy Corp, LA Times/Bloomberg, IDBB/TIPP, Battleground

links:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_obama-225.html

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_clinton-224.html

---------------------------------

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Rasmussen Markets data gives Sen. Obama a 62.0% chance of winning the White House in November:


"New polling from Minnesota was released today showing Obama retaining a double digit lead over McCain. Polling released Friday showed Obama with the advantage in both Pennsylvania and New Hampshire. In both states, McCain had the edge a month ago (see summary of recent state-by-state results).

The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator shows Democrats leading in states with 200 Electoral Votes while the GOP has the advantage in states with 189. When “leaners” are included, the Democrats enjoy a 260-240 Electoral College lead. Rasmussen Markets data gives Democrats a 62.0% chance of winning the White House in November (results are updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants). "

"Rasmussen Reports believes the race is over and that Barack Obama will be the nominee of the Democratic Party. We will stop tracking the Democratic race in the near future to focus exclusively on the Obama-McCain match-up.

link:

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_pr

[Patchuli]

14. Links? nt

[Cha]

9. K&R..

Good, that means we as a Nation will be able to start healing our country from the reagun, bush clinton bush years.

[FrenchieCat]

10. Excellent!

We have a winner!

[highplainsdem]

11. Look at the DATES on those polls -- newer polls are better for Clinton.

The Gallup poll on those key Clinton voters shifting to Obama is over a week old. Gallup shows Obama's lead over Clinton as shrinking by 11 points since then.

In the RealClearPolitics average at

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/democratic_presidential_nomination-191.html

the two most recent polls, Gallup and Rasmussen, show Obama only 5% and 6% ahead of Clinton.

The average is higher because they're factoring in polls from earlier in the month, especially the Zogby poll which is definitely the outlier, and which was also taken at the time Gallup showed support for Obama among Dems peaking.

[Hawkeye-X]

12. Polls don't matter at this point.

He's already less than 50 away from locking up the nomination.

He'll get it done before 5/31.

hawkeye-X

[Why Syzygy]

15. The pollsters themselves are convinced.

"Rasmussen Reports believes the race is over and that Barack Obama will be the nominee of the Democratic Party. We will stop tracking the Democratic race in the near future to focus exclusively on the Obama-McCain match-up."

[PBS Poll-435]

13. Gee, that shit isn't old or anything...

:eyes: