I really think Obama will possibly win against McCain, for one silly reason.

[Neshanic]

Gas prices. The higher they go, the more he has a chance.

It's not his magnetic cultish personality, his spectacular sermonizing speeches, his engaging and warm wife,(sarcasm there), his fierce and ground-kissing devotees, but the fact that if gas hits five bucks a gallon and stays there McCain will lose.

The more people get angry about gas, the more Obama has a chance.

So my prediction has gone from Obama and a snowballs chance against McCain to very, very, slightly optimistic that Obama will win.

[anonymous171]

1. Shit, a Dukakis/Mondale ticket could probably win in this climate.

EDIT: That's why they (the candidates) are fighting so hard for this nomination. It's basically a free ticket to the WH.

[PurityOfEssence]

13. I couldn't disagree more

Take it from a pretty solid optimist: we are NOT in a good position. What's worse is that the feeling of oblivious certainty can make us make stupid moves. In this landscape we SHOULD win handily, but why are the polls so close? It's because both of our possible nominees have so many things against them. These are both "problem" candidates, and anyone who doesn't see this needs to take the world off of "ignore" and listen up.

We may win yet, and I hope we do, but the very idea that it's so sure is not only dangerous, it's simply incorrect. Read the polls. There's no excuse for things to be even remotely close, yet here we are.

Sheesh.

[Clovis Sangrail]

2. I think he needs to keep doing what he's doing...

but more of it.

Where I am there are way too many people whose entire impression of Obama comes from Rush/Boortz/Hannity and the local Fox affiliate.

I really think he needs to go into the red areas and do town hall meetings.

[curious one]

3. MctheSame is a weak candidate and easy to beat. That's why HRC is fighting so hard

for the nomination.

[anonymous171]

4. Pretty much an older version of Bob Dole.

[Spider Jerusalem]

7. Dole was 73 in 1996.

McCain only LOOKS older.

[anonymous171]

8. Really? Wow. He DOES look older.

[anigbrowl]

5. You got that part right .nt

[Heather MC]

6. McSame can't even get his own party to donate money when the President is in the Room

[Change has come]

9. I thought you left.

Welcome back? :hi:

[whistle]

10. As would almost any democrat based on that criteria, but Obama

...needs to start going on the record as to just how he will accomplish and fulfill all the things he claims he'll do thank you very much.

[The River]

15. It Isn't What HE Will Do

It's what he is going to lead US, "We The People" to do.
Do you understand what a "Community Organizer" does?
They don't build day care centers, they organize the community
to take action and build one. They don't register individual voters,
they organize voter drives. They don't provide single payer health care systems,
they organize people to take action to see that it happens.

I feel sorry for any US congresscritter who stands in the way of much needed
legislation when the "Community Organizer in Chief" calls for people to
call, write, fax or visit Congressperson X, Y or Z over their blockage
of a critical bill.

[PurityOfEssence]

11. They'll say that if the Democrats hadn't kept us from drilling in ANWAR, everything'd be fine

Don't think so? Just wait.

You see, Bush and his financial wizards saved us from the Clinton recession, and the only reason it got so bad was because the craven Dems left us vulnerable to 9-11. Everything was fine and we were humming along wonderfully until the Dems took Congress in '06; that's when the economy failed.

It's so easy. This fits their playbook just perfectly, and they'll work it for everything they can.

We are very vulnerable right now, when we should be sitting pretty. Neither of our two choices is even remotely "safe", and there we are. Sure, we can still win, but it's not guaranteed.

Pick your poison.

[TahitiNut]

16. Besides, gas prices will peak on Labor Day and then slowly come down until Thanksgiving.

The prices will ease both as a post-"driving season" thing and as a pressure relief for the GOP. They'll go up again as folks make plans for holiday travel. Convenient.

[McCamy Taylor]

12. Bob Barr will put Texas and the South in play. I think anyone can beat McCain with Barr running

[Colobo]

14. Why are you so negative, Neshanic? You sound angry.

[iconicgnom]

17. Thanks for your positivism.

:sarcasm:

[Neshanic]

18. Anytime. Don't mention it.