THE MATH Daily Widget – Monday, May 26 – Wigand +0.00 – Total +2.20

[phrigndumass]

THE MATH Daily Widget – Monday, May 26 – Wigand +0.00 – Total +2.20








Yesterday’s Widget
Full Weekly Tracking
Past editions of THE MATH

What is this? THE MATH’s Daily Widget was created to track multiple daily sources which measure the potential success of Barack Obama’s presidential campaign. Projected Electoral Votes are on a scale of 0 to 538, with 270 being a majority, or projected win. Trading and Averages are on a scale of 0 to 100, with 50.1 being a majority, or projected win.

The Wigand Electoral Average uses public polling results to determine base states for both parties and a short list of swing states, and combines the actual electoral votes from base states with a weighted Intrade calculation for electoral votes from swing states to derive an average on a scale of 0 to 100. On this scale, greater than 50.00 is considered a win for Barack Obama. An average of 50.10 would yield 270 electoral votes, and an average of 100.00 would yield 538 electoral votes. More Information

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TRACKING











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Sources:
FiveThirtyEight.com
Electoral-Vote.com
Intrade
RCP Average

[phrigndumass]

1. Intrade numbers: Red gets redder, while blue gets bluer

Midwest. People buying shares for Indiana and Missouri are increasingly skeptical of an Obama win in these two states in the general election, although they are both polling near the middle. But Iowa's possibilities for November keep gaining steam.

Pennsylvania is getting bluer by the day. It seems to be following in the tracks of Michigan and Wisconsin. Trading for Pennsylvania is what drove up the WEA Total today.

[phrigndumass]

2. lunch kick

:kick:

[stop the bleeding]

3. love you guys

great work as always

[phrigndumass]

4. Thanks stb, love ya back!

:hi:

[phrigndumass]

5. dinner kick

:kick:

[grantcart]

6. theres going to be some movement next week and then it goes crazy when the VP slots are decided

This was a pretty amazing table

[phrigndumass]

8. Wow, the only one that boosts Obama is Edwards, it appears

Everyone else drags him down below his +9 as compared to McCain alone. Surprised Janet Napolitano and Jim Webb aren't on that list. I wonder how they would compare.

At this point, I would bet on Edwards and Huckabee.

[dbmk]

10. And it looks like Edwards can bring some states home for good.

oh, and K&R. And check your inbox, phrig. :)

[phrigndumass]

11. Hopefully Virginia and the Carolinas!

Thanks dbmk ... checking PM ... :D

[phrigndumass]

14. I'm adding your handle to the widgets. You've helped out so much with this! :)

Thanks again for building such an awesome application for gathering this data everyday!

:D

[fight4my3sons]

7. thank you!

k&r

[phrigndumass]

9. yw f4m3s, and thanks!

:hi:

[Hissyspit]

12. Why are there any red states at all?

What the fuck is wrong with some people's brains?

[phrigndumass]

13. LMAO! This election is Mine Mine Mine, and I'll win it 538 to 0! :)

In a perfect world, there would be no red states. In order to accomplish that, I suggest we hire John Cusack to take his boombox to every red state and blast "Imagine" by John Lennon.

That'll learn 'em!

[grantcart]

15. nightime kick