The RBC Ruling on FL/MI Will Not Change the Outcome of This Primary.

[tekisui]

Of all of the possible scenarios, all of the potential compromises will not put Hillary within reach of doing anything except losing. The ruling will probably change the number to clinch the Nomination, but not significantly.

Obama is 47+/- from clinching right now, if the number change, he will be at most 100+/- from clinching going into the last 3 Primaries. He will gain 41 or so in PR, SD, and MT. Reports have 36+ Superdelegates waiting in the wings for June 3rd. And, many more who have not made public comments will flood to him on the 4th.

Hillary has very little potential for superdelegate movement towards her. She is at the end of a dying campaign, if there were ANY undeclared's supporting her, they would have gone public by now. She needs every perceptive win she can get. She simply does not have the support or even the potential support to take this to the Convention.

[phrigndumass]

1. Everything I've tracked says you're exactly right

K/R tekisui! Obama is holding back superdelegates, while Hillary is scraping the bottom of the bucket to find them.


:hi:

[MaineDem]

2. You're absolutely right

I think most of the undeclared supers are waiting for Tuesday. We'll see most of them support Obama once all voting has been completed. Done deal!

I think the RBC will strip half the delegates from both states on Saturday. How they allocate them is still a mystery to me.

[tekisui]

3. kick.

[democrattotheend]

4. I'm going this weekend!

I was lucky to get a ticket. My mom is coming down from NJ to go with me.