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My decision if I were on the RBC, trying to be Solomon

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
 
TheDoorbellRang Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-28-08 10:55 AM
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My decision if I were on the RBC, trying to be Solomon
1) If the DNC wants to prevent another state jumping in front of the line in 2012, they will need to impose sanctions on FL and MI this Saturday. My initial thought was to split the pledged delegate vote in half and strip all the super delegates of their vote. On further consideration, it would be difficult to do the latter, because not all of the super delegates may have been involved, so I would (generously) leave the super delegates with a half vote each.

Doing the above would alter the candidates' goals as follows:

Total PD's would go from 3253 to 3409.5
Majority of PD's would go from 1627 to 1705

Total pledged and super delegates would go from 4049 to 4233
Majority to win nomination would go from 2025 to 2117


2)It is reasonable to assume that a certain portion of the Uncommitted vote in MI was for Obama and another portion for Edwards. Clinton received about 57% of the vote in both states. Since a revote was never done, the most equitable solution in MI would be to divide the uncommitted vote in the same proportion as the vote in FL.

According to TGP: of the 185 PD's in FL, Clinton would get 105, Obama 69, and Edwards 11. Using the same proportions in MI: of the 128 PD's, Clinton would get 73, Obama 48, and Edwards 7. These votes would then be cut in half.

According to DCW, there are currently 15 SD's in MI and FL for Clinton and 10 SD's in both states for Obama. These votes would be cut in half.

So

New totals with my (idea of fair) rulings:
Obama 1660.5 + 58.5 = 1719 PD's to date (14 over majority needed)
Clinton 1499.5 + 89 = 1588.5 PD's to date
Obama 318.5 + 5 = 323.5 SD's to date
Clinton 280.5 + 7.5 = 288 SD's to date

Obama total to date = 2042.5 (74.5 needed to win nomination)
Clinton total to date = 1876.5
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