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Hillary's actual mathematical chances of being the nominee:

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Erin Elizabeth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-28-08 02:23 PM
Original message
Hillary's actual mathematical chances of being the nominee:
Edited on Wed May-28-08 02:46 PM by Erin Elizabeth
Pr(x) = 0

Where x is the event (in this case, Hillary becoming the nominee) and Pr is the probability. The result is zero.

So there you go. In mathematics, this is called an impossible event.

I have a greater chance of winning the state lottery Saturday night, because THAT is actually possible. There is SOME probability to it, however slight. The probability is not absolutely zero.

In fact, Hillary has a better chance of winning the lottery than becoming the nominee. I suggest she buy a few tickets, she could pay off that campaign debt if she hits those numbers.

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NJmaverick Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-28-08 02:28 PM
Response to Original message
1. As George Bush would say-
"there you go with that fuzzy math" ;-)
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ChairmanAgnostic Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-28-08 02:32 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. too many decimal places.
that's the problem.
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Teaser Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-28-08 02:30 PM
Response to Original message
2. no multiplication there
just a function...
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Erin Elizabeth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-28-08 02:45 PM
Response to Reply #2
9. I'll edit then, thanks!
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JimGinPA Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-28-08 02:32 PM
Response to Original message
4. Slate Has Her Odds Much Higher - 0.5%
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electron_blue Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-28-08 02:32 PM
Response to Original message
5. No, actually if all the sd's and some pd's switch to her, she can win.
Just pointing out, it's not mathematically impossible.

unlikely, yes.
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Name removed Donating Member (0 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-28-08 02:33 PM
Response to Original message
6. Deleted sub-thread
Sub-thread removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.
 
Brundle_Fly Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-28-08 02:43 PM
Response to Original message
7. its now my signature
THANKS!
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Erin Elizabeth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-28-08 02:45 PM
Response to Reply #7
8. Hee!
:rofl:
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Occam Bandage Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-28-08 02:47 PM
Response to Original message
10. Nah. Obama could be assassinated like RFK. He could get caught in a sex scandal like Gary Hart.
He could read DU, come across a Clinton supporter whining about how mean Obama supporters are, suffer a change of heart, and drop out of the race.
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