If Obama was polling at 20 percent in California right now, would you suggest we drop him?

[theboss]

I'm curious....and I have a reason for asking...and yea, I am sandbagging you.


On Edit...The answer:

I am describing Bill Clinton in May of 1992.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=132&topic_id=6174843&mesg_id=6174843

[LSparkle]

1. Depends on how he's polling elsewhere

If he's at 70+% all over the south and midwest, the
answer would be "no."

It's a whole new ball game this year (imho).

[theboss]

6. Let's say he was 40 percent nationally and in the teens in the Midwest

And getting 17 percent in Colorado.

[LSparkle]

22. And in other areas? My point is, you can't just take one state

and write him off because of it.

Also, if he's won fair and square, his numbers should be
decent because otherwise he wouldn't have won the MOST
DELEGATES ...

[sellitman]

2. He has won already.

You need to read a paper.

[gcomeau]

3. Hint... check polling from previous elections.

The OP is not taking a shot at Obama.

[theboss]

4. I know he was won...I am making a point

Bear with me.

[tridim]

Doesn't matter if he's polling at 0%, he has already won the nomination.

So the answer is no.

[theboss]

8. Making a point...bear with me

Making a point.

[tridim]

10. I can't wait. :)

[YDogg]

5. this is not 1992

[theboss]

19. Hillary brought up 1992 first

So...blah!

[Drunken Irishman]

7. I agree with the very first poster, it depends on where he's polling in other states.

If Obama were losing California badly and barely polling ahead in some strong Democratic states back east, then yes, I would suggest we drop him.

[theboss]

How does 17 percent in Colorado sound?

And in the 20s in most states.

[Drunken Irishman]

13. It would be a very big concern, definitely.

And I would re-think our choice.

[Faygo Kid]

9. If Santa were coming tomorrow instead of Dec. 24-25, would you declare war on Christmas?

Just asking. And no, I have no reason to do so, except I can't think of a response as good as Lewis Black might make to your post, like ARE YOU OUT OF YOUR F****** MIND???? (I can picture him now. . . )

[theboss]

12. Making a Pro-Obama point here...Bear with me

It gets good.

[NC_Nurse]

11. No. Why?

[redqueen]

Depends on the candidate.

History of lying?

Stabbing dems in the back?

Things like that might affect my answer.

[woolldog]

14. Has that ever happened?

Has a candidate who won the most delegates ever been replaced because he wasn't polling well 6 months out? Are we now picking our candidate based on GE polls?

I'd ask why you're applying special rules to one candidate that none of the other candidates have ever had to satisfy. I'd ask why you're holding him to a higher standard than everybody else.

I know the answer but I'd still ask the question.

[apocalypsehow]

15. Well, Obama polls eleven points ahead of McCain in California. Even FOX has CA "leaning" Obama. (?)

:shrug:

Guess I don't get it.

[WeDidIt]

16. I'd have grave concerns

and I became an Obama donor the day he announced.

[theboss]

17. Well, I am describing Bill Clinton in May of 1992

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=132&topic_id=6174843&mesg_id=6174843

[woolldog]

21. Oh.

[theboss]

18. I am describing Bill Clinton in May of 1992

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=132&topic_id=6174843&mesg_id=6174843

[Drunken Irishman]

20. Clinton was trailing both Perot and Bush in May.

It wasn't until mid-summer that he began pulling away.

Not many people thought he could pull it off and he started well behind where Obama is now.

[WeDidIt]

23. Oddly enough, in May of '92 I was a Perot Supporter

because I was terrified George H.W. Bush would beat Clinton so I was going to vote for the person who stood the best chance fo beating Bush.

[brindis_desala]

24. Excellent point!

[theboss]

25. I know it is

I'm awesome.

[Jeff In Milwaukee]

27. You're the bomb...

But not a cluster bomb. That would be bad.

But on the plus side, you'd have the full support of the Bush Administraiton.\

...so there's that.

[GihrenZabi]

26. Polls are useless

The sooner we stop discussing polls, which will never happen, the better.

Quality over quantity...