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THE MATH Daily Widget – Saturday, May 31 – Wigand +0.73 – Total +5.00

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phrigndumass Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-31-08 08:33 AM
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THE MATH Daily Widget – Saturday, May 31 – Wigand +0.73 – Total +5.00
THE MATH Daily Widget – Saturday, May 31 – Wigand +0.73 – Total +5.00








Michigan passes Iowa today to become the bluest of the swing states. Wisconsin is now polling blue (Obama +6), with a poll released by Survey USA. Also, all three sources used for electoral vote tracking now show Obama winning the election. My own electoral vote projection for Obama jumped eight EVs to 294 today.

Yesterday’s Widget
Full Weekly Tracking
Past editions of THE MATH

What is this? THE MATH’s Daily Widget was created to track multiple daily sources which measure the potential success of Barack Obama’s presidential campaign. Projected Electoral Votes are on a scale of 0 to 538, with 270 being a majority, or projected win. Trading and Averages are on a scale of 0 to 100, with 50.1 being a majority, or projected win.

The Wigand Electoral Average uses public polling results to determine base states for both parties and a short list of swing states, and combines the actual electoral votes from base states with a weighted Intrade calculation for electoral votes from swing states to derive an average on a scale of 0 to 100. On this scale, greater than 50.00 is considered a win for Barack Obama. An average of 50.10 would yield 270 electoral votes, and an average of 100.00 would yield 538 electoral votes. More Information

* * * * * * *

TRACKING











* * * * * * *








Sources:
FiveThirtyEight.com
Electoral-Vote.com
Intrade
RCP Average





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Coexist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-31-08 08:58 AM
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1. .
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Demeter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-31-08 01:52 PM
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2. You Bet Your Sweet Bippy We're True Blue! (And Maize for Ann Arbor)
Michigan is Obama country, we just don't want to rile the opposition.
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phrigndumass Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-31-08 02:03 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. You shouldn't want to rile skunks either =)
:7
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RUMMYisFROSTED Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-31-08 02:04 PM
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4. Suggestion.
Add a quick synopsis of the info at the end.

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phrigndumass Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-31-08 02:11 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. Are you referring to the maps, or graphs, or sources, or the basketball game?
when you refer to the info at the end?

:hi:
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RUMMYisFROSTED Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-31-08 02:53 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. Everything.
A note on movement from the previous post.


We don't need anything about the 'Hawks, Bulls, Cubs, Bears or Sox. They all suck! :D
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phrigndumass Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-31-08 03:01 PM
Response to Reply #6
7. As an Illinoisan who dislikes all Chicago teams, I'll be happy to oblige
They do suck.

Words of caution: Don't mock the Packers, Cards or Blues. Mock the Rams all you want, though. The Rams supersuck.

I'll be happy to add notes explaining the changes from the day before.
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RUMMYisFROSTED Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-31-08 03:03 PM
Response to Reply #7
8. Agreed.
Except for the Packers, Cards or Blues.

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