Poll: Presidential Race A Dead Heat -- In Georgia

[dkf]

n a further sign of just how wide the political playing field is set to be this fall, a new poll finds that Barack Obama may well be able to win Georgia, a state that voted twice for George W. Bush and by healthy margins.

The numbers from InsiderAdvantage: McCain 44%, Obama 43%, within the ±5% margin of error. Some key numbers: Bob Barr, the former right-wing Georgia Congressman turned Libertarian nominee, is getting six-percent support, which otherwise would have probably gone to McCain. Also, InsiderAdvantage estimates that blacks will make up 29% of the electorate, up from 25% in 2004 exit polling.

http://tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com/2008/06/poll_presidential_race_a_dead.php

[hokies4ever]

1. McCain's camp has got to be very worried

Especially since this poll comes right after finding out that Obama opted out of public financing.

[Orsino]

20. With the McCain-style economy collapsing around our ears?

He sure as hell better be worrying. If Georgia becomes a swing state, he is toast.

[davidpdx]

2. Barr will make a difference in a few states

and Georgia will be one of them. We may have to send ole' Bob a nice big wet kiss after the election if he helps Obama win a couple of states.

[davidpdx]

3. Delete-Duplicate

[book_worm]

4. This is damn good news!

[NotThisTime]

5. Is this one of the States Obama has done an ad buy in?

It's fantastic news!

[Dawgs]

6. "InsiderAdvantage estimates that blacks will make up 29% of the electorate, up from 25% in 2004."

That number is number is going to be much higher than a 4% increase. The AA population in Georgia is huge. The AA turnout during the primary(at my polling place) was very impressive.

This is all very good news.

[KingFlorez]

7. If there is high turnout in parts of the Metro Atlanta area

Mainly Fulton and Dekalb, plus a positive showing in the Savannah area, then Obama wins this state. I think Georgia will go blue this time around.

[Liberal_Stalwart71]

16. I grew up in Decatur: nice, progressive, McKinney's hometown...

There are a lot more of us than they are reporting. I think that black voter number is going to increase two-fold!! We just need to work hard registering people. I'm telling my entire family to get busy.

[rox63]

8. Wow - Fantastic! n/t

[SmileyRose]

9. I can't even say how deliciously PLEASED I am to hear this.

I am in one of those Metro Atlanta counties with a high percentage of black citizens, Clayton County. Hopefully the Obama Fellows and United for Change programs here will get people out to the polls. I have never been fired up like this about politics before. I saw a woman at Publix getting out of a car with Obama stickers all over it and stopped her to talk. She also told me about Democratic Underground.

I figured here in Georgia, it being freeper central, would be a lost cause. Now I'm ready to rock and roll.

Woohoooo!!

[dkf]

10. Make sure everyone you know is registered to vote!!!

[SmileyRose]

13. I've been like an evangelical christian in that.

Everywhere I go, the grocery, a haircut, the gas station, anywhere. Instead of "are you saved?" I'm asking "are you registered to vote". I went by the library and picked up a stack of voter registration forms and keep at least 3 on me at all times. I'm driving my husband NUTS! :)

[dkf]

22. Wow. I'm impressed.

Great Job!

[crispini]

11. Welcome to DU!

:hi:

[SmileyRose]

12. THANKS!

I've been lurking for a couple weeks just reading but every time I turned around I wanted to run my mouth so here I am. LOL :)

Thanks again.

[otohara]

15. Welcome to DU

:toast:

[bigwillq]

18. Hello.

Welcome to DU! :hi:

[NatBurner]

14. nice

[crankychatter]

17. i knew it, i knew it, i knew it - nt

[MattNC]

19. IA is total crap n/t

[dailykoff]

21. Bad news for Mark Penn.

If Obama doesn't need what the Clintons are selling he might have to cut back on the fancy call girls.

[Arugula Latte]

23. I suggest McCain get fitted for iron undies ...

He's going to need them for the tremendous ass kicking he will receive in November.

[Overseas]

24. I love the 50 state strategy and say GO FOR IT !!

[Drunken Irishman]

25. High MOE, but if true, I love it!

[TheDonkey]

26. WOW.