Beware of today's Gallup tracking poll...

[carpe diem]

The traditional media needs a poll that it can tout to make the race seem like it's tied and Obama "can't close the deal". Since Rasmussen has Obama up by 5 and hitting 50%, and every other poll reflects similar national numbers for Obama, or better, there has to be one, even if it contradicts EVERY OTHER POLL out there, that the media can promote for their purposes. Gallup is either going to show a tie or McCain up by 1-2 pts. And that will be the one that you will hear reported on ALL WEEKEND LONG!

[fascisthunter]

1. you can bank on it

[truthisfreedom]

2. Check this out...

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_obama-225.html

[PBS Poll-435]

3. Yep. Gallup will show McCain ahead today, I think

Based on extrapolated numbers it will be 48-46.

[Democat]

4. Gallup Loves McCain

He is actively promoting McCain and claiming McCain will win in a landslide, while almost every other poll shows that Obama is the one with momentum.

[Essene]

5. expect a mere tie or +1 obama. dont get too paranoid, folks...

[HughMoran]

6. Oh, well - let them delude themselves

Gallup had a bad datapoint - let them live with the consequences.

[Teaser]

7. bookmarking

for kudos or mockery, whichever comes first.

[carpe diem]

9. i will gladly endure whatever mockery

comes my way if i'm off the mark :hi:

[Teaser]

13. So it's to be mockery then :)

Just kidding. Your instincts were fine, but some days even Gallup can't fudge the trend :)

[jefferson_dem]

8. I'll play devil's advocate and predict a one point Obama edge in today's Gallup.

As if that takes much courage.

[still_one]

10. I don't buy the polls anymore. I suspect the variations are due to sampling errors

that are not being accounted for

However, I do believe that a gouping of all the polls does indicate a trend

and that trend is with us

[renie408]

11. You checked on it, didn't you...confess. Gallup has them tied at 46% n/t

[carpe diem]

12. that was yesterday's...

it will be a couple of hours befor today's comes out...

[nsd]

14. Today's Gallup: Obama +3

link

Obama 48 (+2), McCain 45 (-1)

[4_Legs_Good]

15. Haa haa, you're wrong!!! (hee hee, kidding, just happy for the good news)

Yesterday they probably just got the numbers backwards. Today we're back up by 3, which is a pretty good place to be in for the first debate!

David