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Edited on Sun Oct-05-08 06:43 PM by Old Crusoe
The Indianapolis STAR's most recent poll had Obama up marginally, but the race remains close.
Most of southern Indiana is conservative, but not Monroe County. Or rather, not Bloomington, one of the most progressive cities in the nation. Indiana University is there. It will likely be more than enough to give Obama/Biden a win for Monroe County.
Indianapolis will go for Obama/Biden.
The vote totals, IMO, will be closer in Hamilton County, but Obama is competitive. Young professionals who work in Indianapolis but who live in Noblesville, for example, may be a source of strong support for Obama.
Although there is concern about voter roll challenges in the northwest corner generally and Lake County especially, Obama will likely do very well there.
Tippecanoe County is a split-personality county. Democrats abound in West Lafayette (home of Purdue University), but just across the Wabash River the demographics are more Republican. Steve Buyer (R) represents that Congressional District and while he's favored to win, his Democratic opponent is stronger this year than in any race in recent memory.
If economic hard times in Kokomo, Muncie, and Anderson get worse this fall, and they very well may, it could sway significant post-manufacturing households toward the Democratic ticket.
A gubernatorial race between incumbent GOP sheister Mitch Daniels and former Congresswoman Jill Long Thompson will bring a lot of people to the polls. Turnout could be huge. With the collpasing economy, that could favor Obama.
Not least, it sure looks like Dave Letterman -- Indiana's own -- is for Obama.
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