Bradley Effect Poll:

[rucky]

Poll question: Bradley Effect Poll:

Question: I live in a red county, and notice that the Republicans have their McCain signs up, and signs for a few down-ticket Republicans (Boehner, and some local posts).

While I'm seeing a surprising number of Obama signs, I'm also noticing that some lawns only have signs for downticket dems, but not Obama (there are plenty in-stock at the campaign office). These are not confined to certain neighborhoods - I'm seeing this all over town.

Before I get to my question, here's a shameless plug to help us turn this red county blue: www.miamicountyneighborsforchange.org , and an article about our local Obama HQ: http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/10/on-road-troy-ohio.html


So my question is: Is the yard sign thing an example of...

[Ian David]

1. Sarah Palin and The Timothy Effect

1 Timothy 2:11-12
"Let the woman learn in silence with all subjection. But I suffer not a woman to teach, nor to usurp authority over the man, but to be in silence.

http://skepticsannotatedbible.com/1tim/2.html

[rucky]

3. Let me try that one out on the wife.

I'll let you know how that works out.

[gateley]

2. I think some people are hesitant to post their Obama signs, because of reports

of vandalism, etc. And that's definitely racial -- the people so angrily against Obama aren't against his policies or level of experience, the fear and hatred is because he's black. You can't convince me otherwise.

So, I'm saying that maybe some people are keeping Obama's name off their front lawn, or car, to avoid any problems (which I really feel are hate crimes in a way), but will vote for O at the polls.

Is that Reverse Bradley?

[rucky]

5. That would be Reverse Bradley.

People don't want to make waves with the neighbors, so they hide their support.

[gateley]

13. Okay -- I'll go vote! Thanks! nt

[Schulzz]

4. I think new voters and cell phone users will make more difference than both. nt

[rucky]

6. Yep.

I like your new slogan for McCain, btw.

[chascarrillo]

7. The Bradley Effect is real folks.

We all remember how Bill Bradley lost the primaries to Al Gore in 2000. Basketball players don't win presidential elections.

It's a fact!

[Essene]

9. knock knock

[chascarrillo]

12. Sorry, I hate joke headlines, so I don't know why I did that.

Thanks for linking to the articles below.

[Essene]

8. 2 must-read articles on this "bradley effect" issue

http://www.physorg.com/news142862643.html

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2008/10/the_bradley_effect_selective_m.html

[SemiCharmedQuark]

10. Obama signs are difficult to get

Our local Obama office rarely has them. So I don't think it can be a reliable indicator.

[rucky]

11. We have plenty. n/t

[SemiCharmedQuark]

15. I purchased mine off Obama's site after I got tired of waiting.

Eight bucks a pop and well worth it

[Overseas]

14. Other -- Republican Desertion Effect

It doesn't matter what race the candidates are, but Republicans secretly deserting their party. Wouldn't admit it in front of friends and family, but they know which party helps the most people.

[wowimthere]

16. Bradley Effect... That vote was no doubt stolen.