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The Japanese Lesson: don't take 10 yrs to nationalize the bad banks:

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amborin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-21-09 01:29 PM
Original message
The Japanese Lesson: don't take 10 yrs to nationalize the bad banks:
Edited on Sat Mar-21-09 01:40 PM by amborin
Japan wonders why we havent' learned from their mistakes....

they wasted 10 yrs and countless trillions to cure their banking system ills......

their "lost decade" was largely due to failure to bite the bullet and nationalize the troubled
banks:


".... The Obama administration is committing huge sums of money to rescuing banks, but the veterans of Japan’s banking crisis have three words for the Americans: more money, faster.

....They endured a “lost decade” of economic stagnation in the 1990s as their banks labored under crippling debt, and successive governments wasted trillions of yen on half-measures.

Only in 2003 did the government finally take the actions that helped lead to a recovery: forcing major banks to submit to merciless audits and declare bad debts; spending two trillion yen to effectively nationalize a major bank, wiping out its shareholders; and allowing weaker banks to fail.

By then, Tokyo’s main Nikkei stock index had lost almost three-quarters of its value. The country’s public debt had grown to exceed its gross domestic product, and deflation stalked the land. In the end, real estate prices fell for 15 consecutive years.

More alarming? Some students of the Japanese debacle say they see a similar train wreck heading for the United States.

“I thought America had studied Japan’s failures,” said Hirofumi Gomi, a top official at Japan’s Financial Services Agency during the crisis. “Why is it making the same mistakes?”...."

<snip>


"....Prodded into action, the government injected 1.8 trillion yen into Japan’s main banks. But the injections — too small, poorly planned and based on little understanding of the extent of the banking sector’s woes — failed to stem the growing crisis.

Fearing more bad news if banks were forced to disclose their real losses, Japan’s leaders allowed banks to keep loans to “zombie” companies on their balance sheets.

Japan, instead, experimented with a series of funds, in part privately financed, to relieve banks of their bad assets.

The funds brought limited results at best, says Takeo Hoshi, economics professor at the University of California, San Diego. For one thing, the funds were too small to make an impact. The depository for bad loans had no orderly way to sell them off. And the purchases that did take place failed to recapitalize banks because the bad assets were priced so low.



<http://www.nytimes.com/2009/02/13/business/economy/13yen.html?_r=1&scp=1&sq=japan%20and%20banking%20crisis%20and%20assets&st=cse>
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ZombieHorde Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-21-09 01:32 PM
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1. Japan is definitely an innovative country. nt
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LittleBlue Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-21-09 01:51 PM
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2. Precisely. Geithner can stick his head in the sand all he wants,
nothing will be solved with his "insolvent zombie bank" plan.
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MarjorieG Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-22-09 12:57 AM
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5. It's been two months! Still diagnosing the health of all the different banks/companies.
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slipslidingaway Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-21-09 08:09 PM
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3. knr n/t
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Blue_Tires Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-22-09 12:51 AM
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4. ttt
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chill_wind Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-22-09 01:14 AM
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6. K & R n/t
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Joe the Liberal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-22-09 03:55 AM
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7. This quote would seem appropriate............
"Human beings, who are almost unique in having the ability to learn from the experience of others, are also remarkable for their apparent disinclination to do so." - Douglas Adams
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