NY 20th DUers - how's turnout looking?

[wyldwolf]

[babylonsister]

1. Hot stuff! Today's the day we find out just how popular the

rethugs in upstate NY are. I heard a week ago it was a dead heat, but it's gotten better for the Dems. Apparently, the rethugs' advertising was backfiring on them. :D

[TuxedoKat]

2. I haven't voted yet

but everyone I know was planning to vote for Scott Murphy.

[Thrill]

3. Love how MSM is calling this a referendum on Obama.

Democrats are going to have to stick with Obama much more than they did with Clinton. They are trying to destroy him. There is a war against him.

[rvablue]

9. That framing by the MSM is utter bullshit as well, being that the Repub

in the race ran commercials that mentioned the President by name and strongly said that he intends to work WITH the President.

ABC News interviewed him the other night and he said that he hopes and prays that the President succeeds and believes he's going to be one of the best Presidents in history.

Now, how exactly, does that translate into this being a referendum on Obama, as the Republican in the race basically sounds like a Democrat. The GOP candidate isn't running as a strong opposition, minority party candidate. He ran as a pro-Obama candidate. So, the "referendum" meme is basically a fairly tale invented by the cablecritters.

[ErinBerin84]

10. exactly!

And Tedisco says in the commercial "As our president says, it's not about Democrats or Republicans." RIght. How conveeeenient. And he reallllly didn't want to give a stance of the stimulus until he had to say he was against it when his 12 point lead was lost. And when the AIG thing came out, THEN he turned it into "OMG, didn't this guy READ the BILL?! That's TOTALLY why I'm AGAINST it!"

[ErinBerin84]

4. I haven't voted yet

Hope a lot of people turn out though. I am keeping low expectations, but it would be nice if we pulled out a win. The first polling had Murphy down 12 points, so it's amazing how close it's gotten.

[ElsewheresDaughter]

5. I heard he was up by 2

[ErinBerin84]

6. the last polling had him up by 4 I think

but it's still a conservative district, and he is pretty much unknown, compared to Tedisco. Still, I would be more surprised if he won than if Tedisco won. I'm hoping though. It's all about turnout.

[BeyondGeography]

7. "Surprisingly high" so far

Voter turnout in the 20th Congressional District has been surprisingly high so far--for a special election.


Elections inspectors said more voters came to the polls this morning than for a typical primary, but less than a general election. Voters are choosing today between Democrat Scott Murphy and Republican James Tedisco to fill the seat vacated by Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand.


Polls are open from 6 a.m. to 9 p.m.


"This is going pretty well," said Maureen Vogel, an inspector at the LaGrange Town Hall polling site.

Vogel, who has been an election inspector for 15 years, said 53 people from districts 1, 2 and 14 had voted by 8:15 a.m. "In a primary, sometimes your lucky if each district gets 10 or 20 votes," she said.


Neil Blodgett, an election inspector at the Fairview Firehouse in the Town of Poughkeepsie agreed. Blodgett said about 20 people had voted by 8:20 a.m. "I was expecting maybe five or six at this hour," he said.


Blodgett and Vogel said they expect turnout to slow down for a while, until about 4 p.m., when the evening rush begins...

http://www.poughkeepsiejournal.com/article/20090331/NEWS01/903310323/1006/news01

I think that favors us, but I've been wrong before about that. Gillibrand's hometown of Hudson will turn out very strong for Murphy. Even though upstate has more registered Repubs, Dutchess County went for Obama after going for Republicans for decades and Columbia County has become reliably Democratic in national races. The Saratoga area is more problematic, but Dems organizationally have made strides all over the district in the last five years. I'm cautiously optimistic.

[saltpoint]

8. I think the new Congress would be a lot better with our guy than with

their guy.

Go, upstate Democrats.