Democrats Predict 210-Vote Victory in NY-20

[PBS Poll-435]

Democrats Predict 210-Vote Victory in NY-20

The Washington Post
The Fix
Political News & Analysis by Chris Cillizza

April 1, 2009

Venture capitalist Scott Murphy (D) will win the special election in New York's 20th district by 210 votes after all outstanding absentee and military ballots are counted, according to projections made by Democratic Party officials and obtained by the Fix.

The projections -- based off of the county performances by Murphy and state Assemblyman Jim Tedisco (R) on election night -- show the Democrat gaining 115 votes in Warren County, 96 votes in Columbia County and 70 votes in Washington County as well as scoring smaller gains in several other counties. Tedisco's only major gain, according to the model, will be in Saratoga County where he will net an additional 116 votes.

The Democratic projection puts the total number of absentee and military ballots at 5,584 with Murphy winning 2,864 and Tedisco taking 2,720. On election night, Murphy held a 65-vote lead -- 77,344 to 77,279.

The race is essentially on hold until April 14 when all of the absentee and military ballots have been received and a re-canvas begins. But, the spin war between the two parties will fill that time void for all the political junkies out there. And that part of the race has only just begun.

[PBS Poll-435]

1. ?!?

:shrug:

[Drunken Irishman]

2. I'm gonna miss Michael Steele.

[Occam Bandage]

3. Maybe Murphy and Franken can be the respective lower and upper houses of the Limbo Congress.