http://www.tpmmuckraker.com/archives/002469.phpWell, it says the only solution to the problem is a political one; however, it says that solution is unlikely:
The Sunnis remain "unwilling to accept minority status" and believe the Shiite majority is a stalking horse for Iran. The Shiites remain "deeply insecure" about their hold on power, meaning that the Shiite leadership views U.S.-desired compromises -- on oil, federalism and power-sharing -- as a threat to its position.
And on Bush's surge?:
...even if violence is diminished, given the current winner-take-all attitude and sectarian animosities infecting the political scene, Iraqi leaders will be hard pressed to achieve sustained political reconciliation in the time frame of this Estimate.
(Kerry right again -- he said both sides think they can win)
And on Iran:
Iraq's neighbors are "not likely to be a major driver of violence or the prospects for stability because of the self-sustaining character of Iraq's internal sectarian dynamics."
So stop blaming Iran, Mr. Bush. I think this will be helpful in averting war with Iran (maybe).