POLL: DEMS LEAD 59-36% LIKELY VOTERS, USATODAY/GALLUP

[Grebrook]

It looks like the CNN poll was NOT a fluke.

Also, anyone who posts in this thread, PLEASE refrain from the cliche and consistent "BUT DIEBOLD IS GOING TO SHRED OUR VOTES", it's getting really old. This kind of an advantage cannot be beaten. Voters are going to destroy the GOP in November.

http://www.pollingreport.com/2006.htm

Summary: Two latest polls

Cnn: Dems lead 58-37
USA/Today: Dems lead 59-36

Definite momentum shift towards the Dems. They actually fair better among LIKELY voters than registered voters, which means the traditional GOP get-out-the-vote advantage hasn't merely been nullified, it's been co-opted by the Democrats.

[Botany]

1. Only one reason

It is Clinton's fault. :rofl:

[BuyingThyme]

2. Are any of these articles putting this in historical context?

Has it ever been this bad (good) before?

[napi21]

6. If you can believe ANYof the talking heads, they're almost all

saying this is the temperment of the Country in 1994 when the people were all pissed off at the Dems and the Pubs swept the elections!

I can only hope they're right!

[BuyingThyme]

10. Yes. Many started saying that long before Foley.

I wonder if they're gonna keep that up, or come up with a whole new take.

[Zynx]

7. Apparently Dems haven't had numbers like this in almost two decades.

That would mean something like 260 House Seats before gerrymandering, but my guess is around 235.

[BuyingThyme]

11. It feels like three decades.

[longship]

8. My forty years of political activism says, "no."

I've never seen Congressional elections where one party might not lose a single seat. However, if things are the way they are now in November, that's what's going to happen.

Dems lose zero seats? That's pretty amazing.

[BuyingThyme]

12. I like your analysis.

[mark414]

15. it is twice the margin

that the republicans of 1994 held

[BuyingThyme]

16. That's the way I remember it.

23 points seems ridiculous.

[longship]

3. More big numbers from the big issue polls.

If you're paying attention, this is going to be bigger than anybody is predicting.

From my journal: "All You Can Eat".

[buddysmellgood]

4. Ok, ES&S is going to vaporize our votes. We're going to wonder why the

results don't match the polls. But I hope you're right.

[Mark E. Smith]

5. Amen brother

Sick of hearing about Diebold.

[Justice Is Comin]

9. Let me put more strawberries on this sundae.

The Brookings Institution and Cook Report representatives before the Foley gift even broke, said that all indicators were
as bad or worse than 1994 when the republicans took congress.

They said it's not the flu, its the AVIAN flu for republicans.

They said we pick up easily 30 seats and the Senate.

They have one of the best records for predicting elections of any poll takers in the business. They did a micro and a macro analysis.

I was cheering like a high school cheerleader.

[elocs]

13. I also saw on the news tonight

that 60% of those polled favored their own Congressperson. That would square with the conventional wisdom that people do not like Congress, but like their own Congressperson because they bring home the bacon. My own representative is a Democrat who is in no danger of not being reelected. No matter how much I may dislike the Republicans, I can only vote for who is running in my district. Perhaps, and let's hope, this election is like that of 1994, only in favor of the Democrats.

[OrangeCountyDemocrat]

14. Can We Not Be The Yankees Please?

Last time I checked, the election results have not been announced yet.

I will be relieved if the results next month match the polling that is shown now. You have no idea how pleased that will make me.

I've just been down this road before, where the "results" appeared likely, only to be shocked and distraught. So excuse me if even a lead as significant as this, still scares the living SHIT out of me.

I put NOTHING past these guys. NOTHING!! Do you? Do you put NOTHING past them?

It should be a sure bet of what's going to happen. THAT is what still concerns me. I will be happy when it's over, and I can admit to being worried for nothing.

[Catfight]

17. Diebold will fix that, it always turns the votes over to repugs. nt