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I grow weary of the constant drumbeat of negativity here. Let's talk about something upbeat: The idea of terraforming Mars and turning it into a more Earthlike planet, with an eye towards eventual colonization. And please, no snarky replies about dealing with this planet before we screw up another.
I read an article awhile back talking about the mechanics of Martian terraforming, and various ways that it might be accomplished. Most of the proposed techniques center around jump-starting Mars' greenhouse effect, since this is the most efficient way to heat up the planet. Once the planet was warm enough, the water ice in the northern polar cap would be able to melt, which would allow for establishing an ecosystem.
The simplest way would be to cover the southern polar cap, which is believed to be mainly frozen carbon dioxide, with dust. The dust would absorb more sunlight than the bright ice, and allow it to begin to sublimate. The neccessary dust-cloud could be created by a carefully placed asteroid impact, or more practically by a small nuclear device of around 20 KT. You'd have to do this more than once--probably around four times, each at the beginning of the Martian spring.
Another proposal was to introduce fluorine to the atmostphere in order to produce perfluorocarbons, which are 10,000 times more powerful as a greenhouse gas than CO2. If you pumped enough fluorine into the atmosphere, you could raise the polar regions above the freezing point of CO2, and from there the temperature increase would more or less self-sustaining. This method has the side benefit that the fluorine/CO2 reaction that creates PFCs also produces oxygen. Unfortunately, this method could raise the temperature of the tropics to an uncomfortable level.
I favor the first option: it's relatively simple, we can begin immediately, and if it doesn't work we're not out anything. Once we've got the planet warming up, hopefully we can get the water ice to melt. Then you've got water, you've got CO2, possibly even some nitrates--time for some bacteria. In fifty or sixty years, you could have an atmosphere you could breathe. Two thirds of Earthling pressure, true, but breathable.
What think you all?
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