Rosy Dem outlook gets even rosier

[babylonsister]

http://thehill.com/leading-the-news/rosy-dem-outlook-gets-even-rosier-2007-06-19.html

Rosy Dem outlook gets even rosier
By Aaron Blake
June 19, 2007

Seven months after the 2008 election cycle began in Senate Democrats’ favor, the events of the cycle’s first quarter have recast the landscape even further to their advantage as they look to hold or expand their majority.

The national environment appears nearly static, with President Bush’s approval rating consistently low and Democrats retaining an advantage in generic polling. But several emerging dynamics early in the cycle, and especially in recent weeks, indicate an improving picture on the Democratic side, conducive to more possible takeovers and safer incumbents.

Senate Republicans have been hampered by potential ethics issues, a pair of GOP-held open seats, a blossoming and potentially bloody primary fight in Nebraska, slow recruiting caused by various factors and now an immigration bill that has stuck a wedge in the party’s base and threatens to cripple an already ailing fundraising operation.

To be sure, few of the events by themselves currently represent sizeable shifts. But the conglomerate of them suggests a stronger hand for Democrats, who entered the cycle with a slight 51-49 majority and with 21 possible takeovers compared to only 12 seats to defend.

These early dynamics should not be overanalyzed as a sign of things to come, and many of the states where they’re happening are difficult for Democrats to play in, but they do favor the majority, according to Jennifer Duffy of the Cook Political Report.

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[Demeter]

1. No Wonder the DLC Is Working Night and Day To Undermine the Party!

Talk about a pathological fear of success!

[wyldwolf]

2. Examples?

[MannyGoldstein]

3. The DLC Are Winners!!!

From the time the Clintons took over the Democratic Party in 1992, the Democrats OWNED the Republicans - we killed them!!!

Not until Dean stole control in 2004 did we suffer a defeat of Rumsfeldian proportions!!!

[Demeter]

4. Time to Have Your Meds Checked---Seriously!

[MannyGoldstein]

6. What - Don't You Remember It That Way?

Mrs. Clinton does!

[ChairmanAgnostic]

10. thank gawd for the DLC

dick licking careerists.

[OPERATIONMINDCRIME]

5. That's Awesome News! Thanks For The Link.

It's always good to hear that things still tilt in our favor, especially with all the shit goin on right now. Let's keep building momentum and take it to em!

[bigtree]

7. now, this rings true

thankfully

[NewJeffCT]

8. However, as somebody on DU once said

The Democrats never miss an opportunity to miss an opportunity.

If our reps in Congress had shown more leadership on Iraq, we could be looking at big gains in 2008 instead of modest ones. We could be looking at Republicans lining up to save their own party & demand that Bush resign or be impeached...

[bigtree]

9. of course, their action did track the majority of public opinion at the time

in which polling suggested support for efforts to end the occupation with timelines and a date certain, but rejected the strategy of using the funding as a lever.

[ChairmanAgnostic]

11. I like how they ignore the 23% support congress has earned.

Pelosi and Reid have an angry mob outside, ready to toss anyone and everyone if they don't shape up. If they ignore them (us) any longer, and continue to cater to the DLC, lobbyists etc, it will be all thorns.

Rosy scenario? hardly.

[mmonk]

12. We have a majority now

and we haven't defended the constitution and we've agreed to fund an escalation. We've substituted real oversight for overlook. 08 is an unknown. To always count on the future and never fight agressively in the fight you are currently in leaves the future to fate.