I don't agree with everything he says here, but I think he explains himself well and makes clear than Edwards isn't following a Bush-like policy on Iran.
Edwards On IranTAP talks to John Edwards about America's foreign policy challenges in the Middle East.
By Ezra Klein
Web Exclusive: 02.02.07
The following is an interview conducted on February 2, 2007 at the Washington, D.C., Hilton. Some of the background for the interview is in this Tapped post from earlier in the day. The interview is slightly edited for length, coherence, and the removal of a short off-the-record passage. (Thanks to TAP intern Alina Hoffman for the transcription.)
EK: So, the Iran speech to Herzliya. That caused me to think a little bit more about what we had spoken about Iraq . And so I wanted to talk to you for a minute about --JE: Do you mind me taking just a minute to lay out where I am on Iran and then you can just ask anything you want? Here’s my view about what we ought to be doing in Iran.
Number one, you have a radical leader, Ahmadinejad, who is politically unstable in his own country. The political elite have begun to leave him, the religious leaders have begun to leave him, the people aren’t happy with him, for at least two reasons: one, they don’t like his sort of bellicose rhetoric, and second, he was elected on a platform of economic reform and helping the poor and the middle class, and he hasn’t done anything. In fact, while he was traveling, the leaders of the legislature sent him a letter saying, ‘when are you gonna pay attention to the economic problems of our country.’ So, I think we have an opportunity here that we need to be taking advantage of.
First, America should be negotiating directly with Iran, which Bush won’t do. Second, we need to get our European friends, not just the banking system, but the governments themselves, to help us do two things -- put a group, a system of carrots and sticks on the table. The carrots are, we’ll make nuclear fuel available to you, we’ll control the cycle, but you can use it for any civilian purpose. Second, an economic package, which I don’t think has been seriously proposed up until now. Because there economy is already struggling, and it would be very attractive to them. And then on the flip side, the stick side, to say if you don’t do that, there are going to be more serious economic sanctions than you’ve seen up until now. Now of course we need the Europeans for this, cause they’re the ones with the economic relationship with Iran, but the whole purpose of this is number one to get an agreement. Number two, to isolate this radical leader so that the moderates and those within the country who want to see Iran succeed economically, can take advantage of it.
Now that’s on the one hand,
the flip side of this is what happens if America were to militarily strike Iran? Well you take this unstable, radical leader, and you make him a hero -- that’s the first thing that’ll happen. The Iranian people will rally around him. The second thing that will happen is they will retaliate. And they have certainly some potential for retaliating here in the United States through some of these terrorist organizations they’re close to, but we’ve got over a hundred thousand people right next door. And most people believe that they have an infrastructure for retaliation inside Iraq. So, that’s the second thing that’ll happen. And the third thing is there are a lot of analysts who believe that an air strike or a missile strike is not enough to be successful. To be successful we’d actually have to have troops on the ground, and where in the world would they come from? So, to me, this is the path, I don’t know if you read Tom Friedman’s column either yesterday or the day before?
I did not.It’ll be easy to find. Take a look at it, I think it’s very smart and he’s thinking about this exactly the right way.
He says should we do something sensible, that both sides can agree on?(laughs) Amazing yeah.
So, I just want to get it very clear, you think that attacking Iran would be a bad idea?I think would have very bad consequences.So when you said that all options are on the table?It would be foolish for any American president to ever take any option off the table. (continued...)
http://www.prospect.org/web/page.ww?section=root&name=ViewWeb&articleId=12434