http://www.mydd.com/story/2007/2/6/161019/1426Bush's High Disapproval Still Holds Realignment Potential by Chris Bowers, Tue Feb 06, 2007 at 04:10:19 PM EST
From Gallup:
In three January polls, an average of 36% of Americans approved of Bush's performance as president. The Feb. 1-4 poll, the first Gallup Poll conducted after his State of the Union address, now finds 32% of Americans approving of Bush and 65% disapproving. The new approval rating nearly matches the low for his administration, 31% in May 2006, and the 65% disapproval rating ties his highest negative rating, from that same May poll.
Bush has not had an approval rating above 40% since last September, and has not been above 50% in any Gallup Poll in nearly two full years (March 2005)... Look at where it fits in the all-time ranking of high disapproval polls from Gallup:
Highest Presidential Disapproval In Gallup Poll
Truman: 67%, once in early January 1952
Nixon: 66%, immediately before resigning in 1974. Only reached 65% in one other poll.
Bush Jr.: 65%, twice. Once in May 2006, and again in February 2007. Period of extreme unpopularity now as long as Nixon's.
Bush Sr.: 60%, once, in early August, 1992.
Carter: 59%, early July, 1979. Never hit 60%.
Reagan: 56%, late January, 1983. Never rose above 46% during final five and a half years in office.
Clinton: 53%, September 1994. Disapproval never passed 43% during final five years as President.
Johnson: 52%, twice, in March and August, 1968.
Ford: 46%, mid-April, 1975.
F. Roosevelt: 46%, three times (twice in May 1938, once in November 1938).
Eisenhower: 36%, early April, 1958.
Kennedy: 30%, mid-November 1963. No wonder people thought Johnson's 52% rating meant he was really unpopular--no one else had broken 36% in over 15 years.
As you can see, Bush's disapproval rating is extremely high compared to past Presidents, both in terms of simple rankings and in terms of the length it has lasted. Only Carter, Truman and Nixon suffered plus 55% disapproval ratings for this length of time. Only Nixon and Truman approached the same raw level of disapproval for any length in time. And to top it off, Republicans still strongly approval of Bush. In other words, we are going through an extended period time when a sitting President has disapproval as ratings high as anyone has ever had, and when members of his own party view his performance in an utterly divergent way from Independents. That is a potential formula for re-alignment. Bush can brand his party in a negative fashion for a long, long time.
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