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Emit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-17-07 03:37 AM
Original message
Regime Change in Iran
It's what Bush & Co. have wanted for a long time now, and here are just a few of the things they've been doing to encourage it:

On January 23, the Committee on the Present Danger (CPD), co-chaired by former Director of Central Intelligence R. James Woolsey, and former Secretary of State George P. Shultz, released a stronger version of its “Iran Policy Paper”, first released in 2003. The paper calls for U.S. foreign policy to focus on regime change in Iran. Recommendations by the CPD include implementing the Iran and Libya Sanctions Act of 1996, as well as imposing additional sanctions on investments, regime assets and Iranian imports. In addition, the paper advocates that Ahmadinejad and Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei be brought before an international tribunal and tried for human rights violations and calls for genocide in Israel.

~snip~

On April 27, 2006, the House of Representatives overwhelmingly passed the Iran Freedom Support Act sponsored by Representative Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R-Fla.). This act would make permanent sanctions by the United States that have been in place since the Revolution. It would also enhance the Iran and Libya Sanctions Act of 1996 and imposes additional, more stringent sanctions. These sanctions are targeted to the Iranian leadership and are to be in place until Iran dismantles its weapons of mass destruction program. The act also authorizes the president to fund groups or individuals that “support democracy and the promotion of democracy in Iran.”

A Senate version of the bill was introduced by Senator Rick Santorum (R-Penn.) as an amendment to the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2007, passed on June 22. With just 45 votes in favor, the amendment failed to pass. ...

The United States has unilaterally imposed sanctions on Iran for more than 30 years. Even severe unilateral sanctions on the part of the United States are likely to have very little impact. The Bush Administration is therefore urging its allies to impose similar sanctions. So far Russia and China, two of the five veto-wielding members of the United Nations, have rejected imposing the severe sanctions as called for by the American government. ...

Anti-Regime Groups/Counter-Regime Media

To promote democracy in Iran, the Bush Administration also requested $75 million in supplemental funding in FY 2006, in addition to a previously requested $10 million. Fifty million dollars of the funds would go towards helping finance Persian-language media programs, with only $15 million to be used to support pro-democracy groups operating in Iran. Under the FY 2006 Foreign Operations appropriations, another $10 million is provided. ... On June 15, 2006 the Emergency Supplemental Appropriations Act for Defense, the Global War on Terror, and Hurricane Recovery, 2006 allotted only $66 million to fund pre-existing programs to promote democracy within Iran. ...

Consistent throughout the past four year has been President Bush’s repeated emphasis on a distinction between the dictatorial Tehran regime and the Iranian people who yearn for freedom. ...

~snip~

It is imperative that the Bush Administration takes further steps on the ground level to accomplish this. Access to a variety of unbiased and uncensored information is essential in promoting democracy. ...

~snip~

In May 1995, the Radio Free Iran Act was introduced in Congress to fund the United States Information Agency (USIA) in developing Persian language news programs available for Iranian citizens. The broadcasts would “serve as a consistently reliable and authoritative source of accurate, objective, and comprehensive news on Iran.” The bill was referred to Committee on Foreign Relations and no further action was taken.

It was not until October 21, 1998, that the Department of Transportation and Related Agencies Appropriations Act, 1999 was passed which allocated $2 million per year for the next two fiscal years to Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty Inc. (RFE/RL) to launch “Radio Free Iran” broadcasting. ...

Under RFE/RL and Voice of America (VOA) a new Persian language program, “Radio Farda,” was created in 2002. The program was designed to attract the under 35 years of age populace, comprising more than half of Iran’s population. ...
~snip~

Statistics indicate that Radio Farda has been fairly well received since its inception. ...

~snip~

One of the major problems facing Radio Farda, according to Heritage’s Dale and several VOA representatives at the JINSA roundtable who requested anonymity, is the lack of journalists fluent in Persian. Additional problems include the VOA’s extensive bureaucracy and the difficulty in conveying American values to the listening audience because two-thirds of the broadcasters work out of Prague and are not Americans, and most have never spent significant time in America. ...~snip~
http://www.jinsa.org/articles/view.html?documentid=3489
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Emit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-17-07 10:28 AM
Response to Original message
1. kick n/t
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Emit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-17-07 04:52 PM
Response to Original message
2. Middle Eastern Reality Show Explores America
We can add this to the list:

Weekend Edition Saturday, February 17, 2007 · On the Road in America is a 12-part series that follows four Arab students as they hit the highways and explore the United States. The MTV-style reality show began airing in the Middle East in January.

The cast members include Ali Amr from Egypt; Sanad Al Kubaissi from Saudi Arabia; and Mohamed Abou-Ghazal from Lebanon. And there's Lara Abou Saifan, a Palestinian production assistant who serves as the link between the cast and the crew.

The show is produced by Layalina Productions, where the board of advisers reads like potential members of an American foreign-policy commission: Henry Kissinger, Lawrence Eagleburger, Jim Baker and Lee Hamilton, to name only a few.

Executive producer Jerome Gary and director Lara Abou Saifan discuss the show's premise, impressions of America and the process of broadcasting the group's experiences in the United States to a Middle Eastern audience.


Listen at link:
http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=7447952
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Octafish Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-18-07 09:35 AM
Response to Original message
3. Warmongers & War Profiteers
Usually they are both.

Thanks for the heads-up on Radio Free Iran and stuff, Emit. That is a very important article from JINSA.

Reading between the lines we see the reason for BushCo's concern over Iran's leadership: Big Oil MI-Complex Big Mafiya rat bastards have profited from the people who just want to live life on top of "our oil" for a long time. They also pose a threat to our Friends in Israel.

Now if DU had a worldwide broadcast service, we could beam some Truth Iran's way, the idea that many Americans don't go along with the current crazy monkey.

Here's something else we might broadcast, the Operation AJAX story:

The Secret History of the Iran Coup, 1953

http://www.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/NSAEBB/NSAEBB28/index.html

F'r instance, those new to this subject may be surprised to learn American names Schwarzkopf and Roosevelt helped restore install the "Shah."
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Emit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-18-07 06:48 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. Thanks for that link on Iran -- I'll read up on that for more perspective. Ironically,
I just recently read at this link (posted on another discussion board I frequent) this article about Rumsfeld, with some parts highlighted about his involvement with Iran:

~snip~

Then, there was the Middle East. In mid-1976, exiled Palestinians allied with a Lebanese nationalist coalition to politically and economically challenge the traditional privileged rule of the West's Christian-dominated client regime in Beirut. Faced with this, the Secretary of Defense was decisive in the secret US-Israeli instigation of a Syrian military intervention meant to thwart both the Palestinians and the Lebanese rebels. Rumsfeld muscled the covert action through, despite Kissinger's initial hesitation. It ushered in a three-decade-long Syrian occupation of Lebanon, with relentless machinations in the Levant involving the Israeli intelligence service, the Mossad, the CIA and, beginning under Rumsfeld as never before, the Pentagon's Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA).

Already significant in the 1950s, the CIA-Mossad collaboration in Lebanon and elsewhere certainly pre-dated Rumsfeld, and crucial decisions in the deepening collusion would come after him. But the 1976 intervention, which he backed so strongly, would take the complicity to a new level, with a twisting sequel of tumult and intrigue that directly paved the way for the 1982 Israeli invasion of Lebanon, and thus for the eventual rise of Hizbullah.

At the same time, Rumsfeld avidly stepped up ongoing U.S. arms shipments to the Shah of Iran's corrupt, U.S.-installed oligarchic tyranny -- its torture-ready SAVAK secret police intimately allied with the Mossad, the CIA and the DIA. In 1976, Rumsfeld also pressed the sale to the waning Shah of up to eight nuclear reactors with fuel and lasers capable of enriching uranium to weapons grade levels. Ford was prudently uneasy at first, but relented under unanimous pressure from his men. Cheney backed Rumsfeld from the start in urging an Iranian nuclear capability; and, in this at least, they were joined by their arch-rival Kissinger, ever solicitous of his admirer the Shah, ever oblivious to internal Islamic politics – he himself primed by an obscure but vocal thirty-three-year-old State Department aide named Paul Wolfowitz.

At its Rumsfeldian peak in 1976, U.S. weapons and intelligence trafficking with the rotting Iranian imperial regime took up the time of some eight hundred Pentagon officers. Barely two years later, the Shah's regime would fall to the Ayatollah Khomeini's Islamic Revolution, in part under the sheer weight and waste of the Pentagon's patronage. Like CIA-DIA connivance with SAVAK -- which included coordinated assassinations of Iranian opposition political figures or clerics and, in 1977, even Khomeini's son -- Pentagon complicity with the hated old order made all but inevitable the widespread anti-American sentiment in Iran that would in the future be so effectively exploited by the Islamic regime's propaganda. Detonating in the 1979 seizure of U.S. embassy hostages in Tehran, popular Iranian hostility would burn out of a history of intervention and intrigue few Americans ever knew the slightest thing about.

In this way, Rumsfeld and others, including Gates and his slightly mad patron Casey at the CIA, would all, in some degree, become policy godfathers of the mullahs' regime in Tehran as well as of Hizbullah.



This is the first of two parts. First part:
http://www.tomdispatch.com/index.mhtml?pid=165669
Starts at: The Undertaker's Tally (Part 1)
Sharp Elbows
By Roger Morris
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Emit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-18-07 07:15 PM
Response to Original message
5. Commentary explains US "strategy" of promoting ethnic unrest
Edited on Sun Feb-18-07 07:16 PM by Emit
Here's a piece from an article I read last year. It's from LexisNexis so I have no link. I'll provide related excerpts: HEADLINE: Iran press: Commentary explains US "strategy" of promoting ethnic unrest

SOURCE: Hemayat website, Tehran, in Persian 19 Oct 05 p 2

BODY: Text of unattributed commentary: "America's new strategy against Iran: Ethnic unrest and commotions with promise of federalism", published by the Iranian newspaper Hemayat website on 19 October



In recent years, the American Enterprise Institute, one of the American neoconservatives' think tanks, has conducted expansive studies on how to overthrow the status quo and carry out colourful revolutions. Recently, this institute issued an official and public invitation in which it invited various experts to attend a summit called "Unknown Iran: Another Case for Federalism." This summit paid special attention to sowing intrigue among the ethnic groups with the promise of federalism and fuelling insecurity in Iran's border regions. According to the Mehr News Agency, this conference will be held on 26 October at the institute. Michael Ledeen, the famous American strategist who is also one of the officials of this institution, will moderate this summit. Michael Ledeen has been named the American sovereignty's official responsible for the Iran desk and the strategist for the process of overthrowing the Islamic Republic of Iran.

Summit participants include Dr Ali Al-e Taha, professor of sociology at Shaw University; Dr Hoseyn Bur, a member of the United Front of Baluchestan (one of the old factions that advocated the separation of Sistan and Baluchestan); Dr Morteza Esfandiyari, representative of the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan in North America; and Rahim Shahbazi, a member of the Azerbaijani Societies of North America.

According to the Mehr News Agency, the summit invitation reads: Five years after Bush's election, his administration still does not have a clear policy on Iran. ... The important point is the reality that, even though Iran has different religious groups, tribes, and ethnic groups, there are not many who know that the Fars are probably a minority in the Iranian population. Most of the people in the country are Azeri, Kurds, Baluchis, Turkmen, and the Arabs of Khuzestan. When this regime collapses, there is no doubt that these groups will play an important role in the country's future. This panel will introduce the representatives of these elements of the Iranian population. This means that all those who have experienced various levels of unprecedented suppression in the Islamic Republic will be present on this panel. They will discuss their tragic condition today and their dreams for the future." According to the Mehr News Agency, the invitation continues: "The new strategy of the various American strategic institutions on the process of overthrowing the Islamic Republic is being formed. The previous American strategy of assimilating a collapse, like the one in the Soviet Union, faced failure. The strategy of assimilating a collapse, like the one in the Soviet Union, was pursued during 1377-1379 < 1998-2001> by the American media and some of their internal elements in some of the domestic media and newspapers. They used to claim that Khatami is the Islamic Gorbachev. ... The defeat of the process of assimilating the defeat of Russia meant that the efforts by America and the West to infiltrate the sovereignty and to weaken the political system in general reached a dead end. This proved that the future policies should focus on other the parts. But this defeat becomes more important when the next strategy of the Americans to lay the groundwork for a revolution, known as a velvet revolution, faced failure, too, and the intrigues of individuals like Sazegara and his pro-referendum plan were also confronted with people's negligence towards the establishment of institutions that were known as the American think tanks. Even the weapon of the human rights in Iran, by using Ganji's condition, failed to open the tight knot of America's strategy in Iran. As a result, the matter of the ethnic groups was included on the American agenda. This plan is being executed. In recent months, especially during the election campaign, some of the reformist political groups used ethnic feelings in order to gain votes. The result of this matter was several incidents of ethnic unrest in Kordestan and Khuzestan, which are known to be the most likely places for such activities. A look at the past shows that America's policies towards Iran's ethnic groups have always been traitorous. ... But now they think that the matter of the ethnic groups can be an element to weaken the centre of the Islamic Republic, and thus they began widely supporting ethnic unrest in Iran. ...

The report adds: "America's strategic investment in the ethnic groups is so serious that they have even obliged Reza Pahlavi to contact and establish relations with the discontented ethnic groups". In November, Reza Pahlavi and Shahriyar Ahi, one of the members of Reza Pahlavi's office, had a meeting with the ethnic activists. It seems that the policy of deceiving the ethnics, specially the Kurds, along with the step-by-step development of a nuclear crisis against Iran is in the White House plan to weaken the system and reduce its power to negotiate with the world, along with gradually isolating Iran. Yes, these are America's current strategies to confront the Islamic Republic.


LOAD-DATE: October 23, 2005 Copyright 2005 British Broadcasting Corporation
BBC Monitoring Middle East - Political
Supplied by BBC Worldwide Monitoring

October 23, 2005, Sunday


edit typo
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Emit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-18-07 07:40 PM
Response to Original message
6. "Overthrow Tehran? Hey, not so fast" Ledeen and Iranian diaspora
Here's another LexisNexis article I retrieved a while back (no link). I found this interesting because it details Ledeen's involvement in trying to persuade these groups to become involved in the neocons' plan for regime change, and, it provides some insight into how some Iranians perceive this plan.

SECTION: OPINION; Pg. L07

LENGTH: 885 words

HEADLINE: Overthrow Tehran? Hey, not so fast

BYLINE: By JEET HEER and LAURA ROZEN, Wire Services

~snip~

On April 21, 2003, in the final days of the major combat operations in Iraq, Ledeen traveled to Los Angeles, where he spoke to a group of about 200 Iranian exiles. The event was organized by the owner of a Los Angeles-based Persian radio station, said to be sympathetic to the monarchists (the people surrounding the late shah's son, Reza Pahlavi, who lives in a Washington suburb).

"The Iranian diaspora is one of the richest diasporas in history," Ledeen told the audience, according to a tape recording of the event. "So as you contemplate the future of Iran, think first about how to organize the Iranian community and diaspora to raise money for Iranians in Iran to stage democratic revolution that we all know can succeed." The private money, Ledeen explained, would jump-start a campaign of civil disobedience by providing financial support for the families of Iranian opposition and dissident leaders, enabling them to step up their campaign of resistance against the Iranian regime. Once the U.S. government saw the mass demonstrations, Ledeen said, it could then be persuaded to seriously back a regime change initiative.

"I think you can buy yourself a free Iran now for $20 million," Ledeen added. He also advised the audience on tactics to increase their lobbying influence in Washington.

Some Iranian Americans in the audience were dismayed by Ledeen's talk of the ease with which the oppressive Iranian regime that had driven most of them from their homeland could be overthrown. "It was insulting to every person sitting in that room," said one Iranian American journalist in attendance, who asked that his name not be used. "If it's such an easy thing to overthrow a government, then why have the Iranian millionaires not done it themselves?" Among Iranian Americans, there's both a fascination and a wariness about neoconservatives such as Ledeen - as well as considerable uncertainty about what, if any, role the diaspora itself should play in any democratic revolution in Iran.

~snip~

The Ledeen initiative shows the contradiction of the neoconservative worldview: While seeking to liberate and empower the peoples of the Middle East it also makes them pawns in a historical drama in which they have little voice. The execution of this sort of radical foreign policy vision has often run roughshod over the details, as the aftermath in Iraq has shown. No one is advocating a U.S. invasion of Iran at the moment, although clandestine support to Iranian opposition groups is on the table. For Iranian Americans, the present question is whether their home country should become a sequel to Iraq or if there is a way to democratize Iran without Washington's heavy hand.


Jeet Heer, who is based in Toronto, frequently writes for the Boston Globe. Laura Rozen reports on foreign affairs and national security issues from Washington, D.C. This article appeared in the Los Angeles Times.

LOAD-DATE: November 19, 2004
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donkeyotay Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-20-07 03:02 PM
Response to Reply #6
11. Wow. Thanks. I'm glad someone is covering our "democracy" promotion
Most of the people in the country are Azeri, Kurds, Baluchis, Turkmen, and the Arabs of Khuzestan. When this regime collapses, there is no doubt that these groups will play an important role in the country's future.

We are told that the debacle in Iraq was the result of mistakes and incompetence... of course, the alternate theory is that it is a policy of chaos, one that encourages the ME to self destruct so that it will be easier for occupation. But if one grants that Iraq is just a tragically failed invasion, what makes these neocons think that Iran will be any less a disaster? We can destabilize Iran into fighting factions, and draw countries like Iran, Turkey and Syria into regional ethnic conflicts, but how do these architects see peace being restored? Millions dead? And for what? Democracy? No, they're more likely to get Chalabi than George Washington. I can hear it now, "Noooo. Did you think I said Iraq? No, I said Iran. I want to rule Iran..."
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Emit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-19-07 12:12 PM
Response to Original message
7. SAIC/Marines Conduct Secret Study Into Iran Ethnic Minorities
Marines Conduct Secret Study Into Iran Ethnic Minorities
The Financial Times is reporting an intelligence wing of the Marines has hired a private defense contractor to conduct a secret study of Iran’s ethnic minorities. This is a move that could indicate early stages of contingency plans for a ground assault on Iran. The Marines conducted a similar study in Iraq. A former intelligence officer said the ultimate purpose of the Marines intelligence wing was to “support effective ground military operations by the Marine Corps.” The study appeared to focus on whether Iran would be prone to a violent fragmentation along the same kind of fault lines that are splitting Iraq. The Financial Times reports several Iranians living in the United States refused to help with the study because they saw it as part of an effort to break up Iran. To conduct the analysis, the military hired a subsidiary of the defense contractor SAIC, the Science Applications International Corp.

http://www.democracynow.org/article.pl?sid=06/02/24/1513204
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Emit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-19-07 12:18 PM
Response to Reply #7
8. Robert Gates is a former board member of SAIC, btw
Many DUers are aware of SAIC (Science Applications International Corporations -- it's been discussed on a few threads before), but Vanity Fair has an excellent investigative article on SAIC:

http://www.vanityfair.com/politics/features/2007/03/spyagency200703

"Secrets
Washington's $8 Billion Shadow
Mega-contractors such as Halliburton and Bechtel supply the government with brawn. But the biggest, most powerful of the "body shops"—SAIC, which employs 44,000 people and took in $8 billion last year—sells brainpower, including a lot of the "expertise" behind the Iraq war.
by Donald L. Barlett and James B. Steele March 2007 "
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Emit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-19-07 02:28 PM
Response to Reply #7
9. SAIC member advocates U.S. military action, invasion of Iran --
Edited on Mon Feb-19-07 02:30 PM by Emit
SAIC member advocates U.S. military action, invasion of Iran --

Summary Notes of the Center for Contemporary Conflict
Conference on WMD Proliferation in the Middle East: Directions
and Policy Options in the New Century
Naval Postgraduate School
Monterey, CA June 28-30, 2004


Introduction

Sixty academic, policy, and intelligence community professionals from around the world met at the Naval Postgraduate School in Monterey, California from June 28-30 to take an in-depth and systematic look at the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction (WMD) in the Middle East region and policy conundrums facingthe United States and the international community in combating this problem. The conference specifically addressed the status of WMD programs in Iran, Syria, Libya and the potential for WMD proliferation in Saudi Arabia. Coupled with this country-specific and regional focus, topics of discussion included a review of the contemporary threat environment; current proliferation policy parameters, including supply and demand policy issues; an analysis of different ideas forthreat reduction on a country-specific and region-wide basis; and an examination of strategies available to the United States and the international community to address these programs. The resulting interaction between the participants and assembled experts proved invaluable inhelping the conference to further the collective understanding WMD proliferation in the MiddleEast and the policy options available to address the issue.


~snip~

This panel also included a discussion about Iranian threat perceptions and policy options. Greg Giles from SAIC described Iran’s motivations for developing it nuclear program, and theinternal divisions within Iran over the program’s direction. Mr. Giles also presented possible U.S. policy options in a worst-case scenario. These included continued coercive ambiguity, U.S. military action, invasion, and building a case in the international community for more heavy-handed tactics against Iran. Participants generally agreed that all of these options must be done in parallel with continued pressure from the IAEA and the international community. (italics added)

~snip~

The conference concluded with a classified government-only session, during which some topics were addressed in greater depth. Participants were very satisfied with the conference and expressed a desire to return to the Naval Postgraduate School for more conferences which could address other issues on the topic of WMD proliferation.


Edited to add link: http://www.ccc.nps.navy.mil/events/recent/jun04mideast.pdf
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donkeyotay Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-21-07 11:51 AM
Response to Reply #7
12. The policy appears to be rolling genocide in the ME
The study appeared to focus on whether Iran would be prone to a violent fragmentation along the same kind of fault lines that are splitting Iraq.

That would be good news, no? If we can destabilize Iran and get them to kill each other? :sarcasm: I'd better add this so no one mistakes my tone, but doesn't it appear that our policy is genocide on the installment plan?
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Emit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-22-07 04:52 PM
Response to Reply #12
15. On a related note, did you happen to catch these two recent posts?
Neocon shows again that the Iraqi "Civil War" was always the Pentagon plan...
by JackRiddler
"Ethnic cleansing works." - Ralph Peters

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=389x266566


Secret plan to divvy up Iraq announced by Rep. Michele Bachmann
by Minnesota Raindog
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=389x266612
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donkeyotay Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-22-07 06:25 PM
Response to Reply #15
16. No, I had missed those. I know CNN has been peddling the whole
ethnic divide pretty hard. I recall a C-SPAN presentation quite awhile ago that had a panel at a think tank (non right wing, imagine that) and they were saying that dividing Iraq up would be a disaster because on a neighborhood/family level, the country is so integrated that prolonged ethnic cleansing would be required to reverse that. Teevee has been promoting the idea of historical hostility, but they don't talk about how families can be Sunni and Shia. There's no "clean" or tidy way to make Iraq separate itself out. I think this is the anniversary of the bombing of the mosque in Samara, and all I can say is we don't know who did it, but with something like 100,000 mercenaries there...well, they could be fighting for anyone, right? To paraphrase a British ambassador, "You can rent a mercenary, but you can never buy one."

Thanks, Emit. I appreciate all the work you're doing.
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slipslidingaway Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-20-07 02:43 PM
Response to Original message
10. Thanks, missed this post as well :( and bookmarked for the info.
What happened to our agreement with Iran not to meddle in their affairs?


snip>>

"History lesson: Algiers Accord of 1981

This is point 1 in the agreement from January 1981, which settled the Iran hostage crisis:
The United States pledges that it is and from now on will be the policy of the United States not to intervene, directly or indirectly, politically or militarily, in Iran's internal affairs."

"According to the January 1 Boston Globe, the Bush administration may already be violating the Algiers Accord:"

http://rpayne.blogspot.com/2007/01/history-lesson-algiers-accord-of-1981.html

http://www.parstimes.com/history/algiers_accords.pdf
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bobthedrummer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-22-07 02:18 PM
Response to Original message
13. kick
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Emit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-22-07 04:46 PM
Response to Original message
14. "...pragmatism has been sacrificed at the altar of ideology..."
Edited on Thu Feb-22-07 04:47 PM by Emit
I am not yet familiar with this author, having just come across some of his writings, but he sure is prolific on the topic of Iran. Here are some pieces that offer criticism of the current neocon/Bush & Co. foreign policy approach with Iran; I excerpted parts relevant to the topic of this OP. For anyone interested in the topic, or Iran, in general, it is worth a diversion to read some alternative, intelligent and well thought out opinions.

Time for Détente With Iran
By Ray Takeyh

...Washington must abandon its hopeless policy of regime change, including its paltry award of $75 million to Iranian exiles and for broadcasts into Iran. For one thing, such idealism is misplaced. Unlike Eastern Europe in the 1980s, Iran simply does not have a cohesive opposition movement willing to take direction and funding from the United States. For another, calls for regime change are counterproductive. Washington's fulminations and its provision of aid to the (nonexistent) democratic opposition have convinced many Iranian hard-liners that Washington's offer to negotiate is an attempt to undermine the regime in Tehran. Thus, any effort by moderates to engage with the United States is routinely denounced as a concession to the Great Satan's subversive ploys. Iran will certainly change, but on its own terms and at its own pace. The United States has an interest in promoting a more tolerant government in Tehran, but it will not help itself by broadcasting tall tales from Iranian exiles or with Bush's appeals to an indifferent Iranian populace. Integrating Iran into the world economy and global society would do far more to accelerate its democratic transformation.

~snip~

RULES OF ENGAGEMENT

The best way toward an effective, engaged relationship with Iran is for Washington to open direct negotiations on issues of critical importance, along four separate tracks. Since the purpose of the talks would be to normalize relations, the first track should deal with setting a timetable for resuming a diplomatic relationship, gradually phasing out U.S. sanctions, and returning Iran's frozen assets. Holding out meaningful incentives such as these would go a long way toward facilitating productive discussions on more difficult issues and would likely enhance goodwill toward the United States among the Iranian public.

~snip~

Whatever the perceptions and motivations of Tehran, its influence in Iraq makes it an indispensable partner. Although Iran has been busy enhancing the fortunes of its Iraqi Shiite allies and arming their militias, and Washington has responded with recriminations, the two governments have many objectives in common. Tehran, like Washington, is interested in defusing the ongoing civil war and maintaining Iraq's unity. The Iranian ruling elite also appreciates that the most suitable way to realize its aims is through elections, which are bound to further empower the majority Shiite community. A functioning Iraqi state would facilitate the departure of U.S. forces, neutralize the insurgency, and incorporate moderate Sunnis into the governing order -- all goals that serve the interests of both Iran and the United States.

Instead of bemoaning Iran's influence in Iraq, U.S. policymakers should focus on the challenge of managing that power constructively. Once Iran's legitimate influence is recognized and a framework for harmonizing the two countries' policies is established, it may be easier for Washington to make demands of Tehran. Washington would be in a better position to pressure Tehran, for example, to temper the Iraqi Shiites' secessionist tendencies and rein in recalcitrant actors such as the Shiite militia leader Muqtada al-Sadr. Moreover, Iran today is one of Iraq's largest trading partners. The United States should further facilitate such trade because it helps stabilize southern Iraq. The sooner Washington realizes that Tehran can play a useful role in Iraq, the sooner it may be able to prevent the fragmentation of Iraq and the further destabilization of the Persian Gulf.

~snip~

For nearly three decades, high emotions and irresponsible rhetoric have obstructed the development of a rational relationship between the United States and Iran. Too often, pragmatism has been sacrificed at the altar of ideology, and common interests have been obscured by convoluted historical grievances. Today, however, there exists in Iran at least one powerful faction -- the pragmatists among the new right -- willing to consider accommodation with Washington. Should Washington reciprocate by devising a comprehensive strategy of détente, it might be possible for Iran and the United States to finally overcome their mutual hostility.

A new paradigm cannot preclude tension, or even conflict, but it could persuade Tehran that its interests would be best served if it voluntarily restrained its radical tendencies. Iran will remain a problem for the United States for the foreseeable future; the question is how best to manage its complexities and contradictions. An offer by the United States to normalize relations and start talks on all outstanding issues between the two states would give Iran a chance to choose whether it wants to be a nation defending legitimate imperatives or one guided by self-defeating delusions. And for the first time in decades, there is an indication that Iran may opt for the former.
http://www.foreignaffairs.org/20070301faessay86202/ray-takeyh/time-for-detente-with-iran.html?mode=print

The Iran Option That Isn't on the Table

By Vali Nasr and Ray Takeyh
Thursday, February 8, 2007; Page A21
For too long, Washington has thought that a policy of coercion and sanctions applied to Iran would eventually yield a responsible and representative regime. Events in the Soviet Union and Eastern Europe suggest that containment eventually generates sufficient pressure to force autocratic elites to accommodate both international mandates and the aspirations of their restless constituents. Ironically, though, U.S. policy has buttressed the Iranian regime, which has justified its monopoly of power as a means of fending off external enemies and managing an economy under international duress.

More than sanctions or threats of military retribution, Iran's integration into the global economy would impose standards and discipline on the recalcitrant theocracy. International investors and institutions such as the World Trade Organization are far more subversive, as they would demand the prerequisites of a democratic society -- transparency, the rule of law and decentralization -- as a price for their commerce.

Paradoxically, to liberalize the theocratic state, the United States would do better to shelve its containment strategy and embark on a policy of unconditional dialogue and sanctions relief. A reduced American threat would deprive the hard-liners of the conflict they need to justify their concentration of power. In the meantime, as Iran became assimilated into the global economy, the regime's influence would inevitably yield to the private sector, with its demands for accountability and reform.

It is important to appreciate that Iran has a political system without precedent or parallel in modern history. The struggle there is not just between reactionaries and reformers, conservatives and liberals, but fundamentally between the state and society. A subtle means of diminishing the state and empowering the society is, in the end, the best manner of promoting not only democracy but also nuclear disarmament.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/02/07/AR2007020702136.html

More related articles here: http://www.google.com/search?q=+Ray+Takeyh&hl=en&c2coff=1&start=0&sa=N

edited: typo
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Emit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-23-07 02:52 PM
Response to Original message
17. Controversial AEI Meeting Mobilizes Iranian Activists
Controversial AEI Meeting Mobilizes Iranian Activists

Source: SMCCDI (Information Service)
Date 21-10-2005

MCCDI (Information Service)
October 21, 2005

The controversial meeting which is to take place on October
26th, at the WDC based "American Enterprise Institute"
(AEI), is mobilizing Iranian activists across the world.
Protesters are objecting to the conference named "The
Unknown Iran - Another Case for Federalism? " that they see
it as a gradual promotion of a policy intended for
splitting and the disintegration of Iran.

... Public
Protest letters, to AEI and the conference's organizers,
are circulating on the Internet. Many of the writers were
known for their friendly regards toward the AEI and its
scholars.

~snip~

Many Iranians are believing that the AEI's suggestions are
well listened by the Bush Administration and that the
famous think tank institute was looking, till now, to help
Iranians to free themselves from the tyrannical and
terrorist rule of the Islamic republic. Such positive
thought had become even stronger following the July 16,
2005, comment of President Bush who stated: ""America
believes in the independence and territorial integrity of
Iran!"

Most Iranian opponents, to the Islamic regime, would have
never dreamed that AEI could host meetings that could open
a Pandora box and jeopardize the future of Iran and
Iranians. They also fear that the demagogue Islamic regime
will use the AEI's mistake to reverse the pro-American
feelings of millions of Iranians by stating: "You see, what
they did in the Balkans or in Iraq?.. Now they want to
split your country!.." Such propaganda has already started
in part of the state controlled media in Iran.

~snip~

Dr. Michael Ledeen, who's the moderator of the event, is
stating that the meeting is just "to inform the Americans
on Iran's diversity" and that "no separatist subject would
be allowed in the conference". Nerveless concerns are
increasing on the future impacts of the event. Its sudden
and strange timing and especially the choice of most of its
speakers, who are separatist elements, is leading to
legitimate questions.

~snip~

Responding to a written protest which was formulated by
Aryo B. Pirouznia, the SMCCDI's Coordinator, Mr. Ledeen has
responded: " Some of the speakers MAY have had separatist
ideas but this is no more the case".

Dr. Ledeen has been, in the past, in relation with a
notorious separatist element named "Chehregani"...

~snip~

The AEI had initially 'selected' four speakers in the name
of the Iranian-Azari, Iranian-Kurd, Iranian-Arab and
Iranian-Balootch ethnicities. Such questionable selection
which was curiously just limited to Iran's border zones has
helped fuel the controversy. ...

~snip~

Many Iranians and Americans would have hoped that a
credible conference on Iran's Territorial management would
have been focused on genuine and important factors which
are apparently not on AEI's agenda at this time.
...

~snip~


From http://activistchat.com/phpBB2/viewtopic.php?p=25677

This is from the "Free Iran" blogsite and there is a full discussion about the concerns various groups have with AEI, Ledeen, neocons, etc. Very interesting ... if you can put it all into context.
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Emit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-23-07 03:40 PM
Response to Reply #17
18. Here's the AEI Conference info: The Unknown Iran Another Case for Federalism?
You can watch this at their website, too: http://www.aei.org/events/view.,recNo.101,filter.foreign/eventvideo_list.asp


http://www.aei.org/events/f.video,eventID.1166,filter.foreign/event_detail.asp

The Unknown Iran
Another Case for Federalism?

Start: Wednesday, October 26, 2005 5:00 PM

End: Wednesday, October 26, 2005 6:30 PM

Location: Wohlstetter Conference Center, Twelfth Floor, AEI
1150 Seventeenth Street, N.W., Washington, D.C. 20036
Directions to AEI

Five years after George W. Bush’s election, his administration still lacks a clear policy toward Iran—this despite the fact that the Department of State labels Iran the world’s leading sponsor of international terrorism. Of late, the discussion of Iran has focused almost entirely on that country’s nuclear program, with some analysis of the meaning of its recent presidential elections. Many basic political questions, including those that any future Iranian government will face, are rarely addressed.

Of particular importance is the fact that although Iran is made up of various ethnic and religious groups, few realize that Persians likely constitute a minority of the Iranian population. The majority is composed of Azerbaijanis, Kurds, Baluchis, Turkmen, and the Arabs of Khuzistan / al-ahwaz. In the event the current regime falls, these groups will undoubtedly play an important role in their country’s future.

This AEI discussion will present representatives of these largely unknown elements of the Iranian population, all of whom are experiencing unprecedented levels of repression at the hands of the Islamic Republic. They will discuss their plight and hopes for a democratic future for Iran. Please join us in an AEI panel discussion with Dr. Ali Al-Taie , professor of sociology at Shaw University; Mrs. Manda Zand Ervin, founder and president of the Alliance of Iranian Women, Dr. Morteza Esfandiari, North American representative of the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan; Mr. Amanollah Khan Riggi, adviser to the Alliance for Democracy in Iran; and Mr. Rahim M. Shahbazi, from the Azerbaijani Societies of North America. AEI resident scholar Michael A. Ledeen will moderate.


4:45 p.m. Registration

5:00 Panelists: Ali Al-Taie, Shaw University
Manda Zand Ervin, Alliance of Iranian Women
Morteza Esfandiari, Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan
Amanollah Khan Riggi, Alliance for Democracy in Iran
Rahim M. Shahbazi, Azerbaijani Societies of North America
Moderator: Michael A. Ledeen, AEI




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Emit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-25-07 11:04 PM
Response to Original message
19. New ‘Office of Iranian Affairs’ Outlined in State Department Cable
This is a year old now, but still worth noting in relation to the thread topic:

New ‘Office of Iranian Affairs’ Outlined in State Department Cable
UPDATE: CNN has picked up the story.

The Bush administration this month “quietly orchestrated a major shift in U.S. policy toward Iran,” requesting $85 million for a plan “not just to contain Tehran’s nuclear ambitions but also to topple the Iranian government.” An unclassified State Department cable released this morning offers details on this new strategy. ThinkProgress has acquired a copy of the document, which you can read here.

The cable announces a new Office of Iranian Affairs, and serves as a casting call for Iran and Persian language experts. It states that the U.S. is establishing positions in the United Arab Emirates and developing “reporting” positions in countries with large Iranian exile communities, including Germany, Great Britain, and Azerbaijan, among others.

There are three serious problems with this plan:

1) It repeats the mistakes made in Iraq. One of the Bush administration’s greatest failures in Iraq was relying on the advice of exiles like Ahmed Chalabi, the disgraced Iraqi exile who misled the United States into Iraq, then failed even to win a seat in the latest Iraqi elections.

2) It is based on an irrelevant Cold War-era approach to democracy promotion. As Iran experts Charles Kupchan and Ray Takeyh point out, current conditions in Iran make “it likely that the administration’s new strategy will backfire and only strengthen Tehran’s hard-liners.” The U.S. should be working to raise the profile and influence of independent human rights defenders – not directing funds to Iranian exile groups with few roots in Iran.

3) It unwisely telegraphs our strategy. Even if the approach were the right one -– and it is not — publicly announcing it like the State Department has makes it less likely to succeed. Democracy must come from within, and the United States needs to offer quiet support through non-governmental organizations.

As it tries to pick up the pieces for years of inaction and finally creates an Iran policy, the Bush administration should not make the same mistakes it did in Iraq.

– Brian Katulis

http://thinkprogress.org/2006/03/01/iran-doc
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