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no matter how bad the economy gets, if you have a DIVERSIFIED portfolio of stocks, bonds, money market and real estate, you will not suffer and if you have a long term buy and hold strategy with stocks, there is NO WAY you can lose...
FIRST you have to set your intent to put money into stocks and pretty much leave them alone. don't try to buy and sell and drive gains quickly until you are the Jim Cramer level of investor...
That's hard for most people who see stocks as a scary or unknown entity and their early approach is to buy and sell stocks quickly to make quick profits. the fallacy with that approach is a. beginners make mistakes that cost them dearly such as paying the commissions to trade stocks and losing out bigtime on taxable gains from selling profits.
Here's what I recommend. Cramer's books are OK but they are geared toward the expert investor.
as a beginner, here's what i did.
I found a local Edward Jones and started with a $100 per month commitment. I invested in dollar cost averaging and put half the money into Cisco and half into a store called Dollar General that has grown like hotcakes.. My money grew very rapidly..
at the time I could easily afford to part with $100 per month. I don't suggest you only use Ed Jones as you can also go online and open up an Etrade account which pays you 4.7% interest on money you have not invested, so think of it like a savings account that you can buy stocks anytime but when you're not buying stocks, you earn better than most bank rates for savings.
So pretend you go the etrade or Ed jones route.
THE BIGGEST THING to do is have some sort of automatic pull of $100 bucks per month from your checking account or directly from your bank when you have a payday. if you get paid twice a month , have them suck $50.00 per paycheck for a total of $100 per month. Even as a college student I was able to sock away this little amount of money that I ended spending on burgers, and eating out and other crap I didn't really miss once I started saving it away for stocks.
SO, to make you excited, I went from that amount of savings to 3 years later upping the amount each month over time till I got to $600 month that I stashed away. IN less than 4 years I had a little over $60,000 from stocks growing, the reinvested interest and I didn't sell a single one of the stocks in my portfolio.. but kept reinvesting the gains and buying more.
What it allowed me to do was buy stocks in an area I was familiar or interested, telecomms and wireless.. so buy stocks in areas you are interested, if you like technology or medical or whatever your personal passion, buy stocks in that area chances are you're reading about companies in that area anyway and can have a gut feel for who's doing well.
even during the dotcom crash, I sold some stocks I should not have, had I kept my Cisco stock amount before and after the crash, I'd be a millionaire right now, so I really mean it when I say BUY and HOLD those stocks and such.
So you'll have to picture a pie with 4 equal wedges.. one wedge is BONDS.. they're safe and keep growing at a steady rate, the other wedge is Stocks (Riskier depending on the stock, so 2 kinds of stocks, BlueChip which are considered more SAFE and less known stocks, which are more risky but for instance a GREAT STOCK I CAN RECOMMEND NOW IS NUANCE. TICKR NUAN... they have a virtual monopoly on speech technology and I have researched their customers and such and so I know they have some big ongoing customers and will not go out of business.. their stock was at $7 when I bought it and now it's around $19.00 in less than a year I've not only almost tripled my money, but by being patient and not selling quite yet, it can only stand to go up.. as you become more expert you can do what I do which is sell a stock when it reaches 3x it's price sell only 50% of the stock, cap the gains and buy even more risky small cost stocks in the $1-$10 range to keep the cycle going... but that may be an advanced topic for another time.
the bottom line is with all the books out there the investment principles are pretty simple.. invest into the pie wedge in equal proportions so that if STOCKS tank you still have 25% of your money in real estate and your'e safe... or if real estate and STOCKS fail, you have 25% in bonds/Gold, etc. and 25% in mutual funds which are protected also with cash and bonds to make sure your investments keep going up.
here is an example slice from my schwab account which shows very detailed and wonderful research on every stock I buy: oday's Price Performance as of Close 12/14/2007 Option Chains Margin Requirements Interactive Chart Loading Chart 1 Day | 5 Day | 6 Mo | 1 Yr | 3 Yr | 5 Yr For a detailed view of this company's financial statements, view NUAN's Growth & Earnings. $19.00 Friday's Last Trade -- Today's Change $19.00 Today's Open 2,028,863 Below Avg. Today's Volume Bid Ask Market Capitalization $4B Day's Range $18.99 - 19.41 Earnings per Share -$0.08 52 Week Range $11.00 - 22.56 Price/Earnings NM Avg. Volume (10 Day) 3,736,237 EPS Date November 15, 2007 Trade Tick Next Ex-Date -- Div. (Yield) -- Next Pay Date -- Shares Outstanding 193.46M Shares Held By Institutions 78% NM = Not Meaningful
it shows a thing called 52 week range showing the stock went from 11.00 to 22.56.. and now is at 19.. that means if you buy it now at 19.00 likelihood is that it will go up over say a 10 to 20 year future, and by looking at the graph, unless the company goes out of business it will likely go up to say 30 or 40 bucks in 10 years which means you can double your money.
don't let the oncoming economic recesession scare you... yes the US dollar is weak, yes there are huge banks failing at the moment... so that's why buying actual gold and gold stocks is also a hugely important part of your diversified portfolio.. oil stocks too, we have oil at 100 a barrell, it will likely go to 200 a barrel so look for oil stocks to rise just because know oil is a rare and dwindling resource...
coke / Microsoft / these are stocks that if you buy, you're pretty safe will always go up because I don't predict folks will stop drinking coke or that they'll let a VP ruin their revenues too bad... stay away from having too many technology stocks, it's a lure most folks including myself have fallen for.. buy some food and drink stocks to balance out the Speech/Computer/Software stocks, ok?
and when you buy your first stock, ping me, because you're asking the kind of questions that if you start now, will make you a millionaire not by winning the lottery, but instead by a strategy of wise, disciplined 'hiding money from yourself' in your etrade account or wherever and watching it get bigger and bigger...
good luck!
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