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Doomsday for the Greenback: Iran's Oil Bourse could Topple the Dollar

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JohnyCanuck Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 01:17 AM
Original message
Doomsday for the Greenback: Iran's Oil Bourse could Topple the Dollar
Edited on Tue Feb-05-08 01:19 AM by JohnyCanuck
Doomsday for the Greenback: Iran's Oil Bourse could Topple the Dollar

by Mike Whitney

SNIP

The media has tried to portray Bush's trip to the Middle East as a "peace mission", but nothing could be further from the truth. In fact, three days after Bush left Jerusalem, Israel stepped-up its military operations in the occupied territories and resumed its merciless blockade of food, water and medicine to the 1.5 million people of the Gaza Strip. Bush must have green-lighted Israel's aggression or it would have been seen as an insult to the President of the United States.

So, what was the real purpose of Bush's trip? Why would he waste time visiting the Middle East if he had no real interest in promoting peace or resolving the Israeli-Palestinian conflict?

Sometimes personal visits are important; especially when the nature of the information is so sensitive that it has to be delivered face to face. In this case, Bush went to the trouble of traveling half-way around the world so he could tell the Saudis and their friends in the Gulf States that they were going to continue linking their oil to the dollar or they were going to “sleep with the fishes”. For the last two months, a number of sheiks and finance ministers have been publicly groaning about the falling dollar---threatening to break from the so-called “dollar-peg” and covert to a basket of currencies. Bush's trip appears to have rekindled the spirit of brotherly cooperation. The grumbling has stopped and everyone is back "on board". The regional leaders now seem less bothered by the fact that inflation is trashing their economies and driving food, labor, energy and housing through the roof.

SNIP

Iran switched from the dollar in 2007 and has insisted that Japan pay its enormous energy bills in yen. The “conversion” infuriated the Bush administration and has moved Iran to the top of the White House's target list. In fact, even though 16 US Intelligence agencies issued a report (NIE) saying that Iran was not developing nuclear weapons; and even though the UN's nuclear watchdog, the IAEA, found that Iran was in compliance with its obligations under the Nuclear Nonproliferation (NPT) Treaty; a preemptive US-led attack on Iran still appears likely.

And, although the western media now minimizes the prospects of another war in the region; Israel is taking the precautions that suggest that the idea is not so far-fetched. “Israel calls for shelter rooms to be set up in a bid to prepare the public for yet another war, this time, one of raining missiles.”

http://smirkingchimp.com/thread/12621
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ursi Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 01:20 AM
Response to Original message
1. is this why Iran's internet has been dark since those four undersea cables were cut?
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JohnyCanuck Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 01:42 AM
Response to Reply #1
3. Possibly, and checkout the arms buildup and/or war preparations
now going on in the region with the Israelis, Russkies, French and the US involved as described in Whitney's article. I am definitely getting worried we could be setting the stage for outright war or another Cuban missile crisis type scenario where all hell could threaten to break loose, and this time instead of a JFK, we have a brain-dead, neocon sock-puppet in the White House

Undersea internet cable cut in Middle East – Should Iran be worried?
By Ian Brockwell

SNIP

On the assumption that the cables cut were no accident, we must ask ourselves who would do such a thing and why. Clearly Iran, who were most affected, would gain nothing from such an action and are perhaps the target of those responsible?

But why would anyone want to disrupt communications in Iran (and other countries)? Could this be some subtle message to Iran, an example of how their communications can be affected by outside forces? Maybe this is a prelude to an attack, or perhaps a test run for a future one?

Communication has always been an important factor in military action, and cutting these cables might affect Iran´s ability to defend itself. But even if that were not the case, it would certainly make it difficult for them to report any events to the outside world. So, if they were attacked, we would have to rely on news reports from the usual sources (the Mainstream Media), and we all know where their loyalties lie.

http://www.americanchronicle.com/articles/51085


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Doctor Cynic Donating Member (965 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 01:45 AM
Response to Reply #1
4. Iran is NOT cut from the internets.
Only ONE SERVER was knocked out. You can still see many Iranian government websites.
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cutlassmama Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 03:32 AM
Response to Reply #4
8. 4 were cut today.
Edited on Tue Feb-05-08 03:38 AM by cutlassmama
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screembloodymurder Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 06:43 AM
Response to Reply #1
11. 2+2=
4 cut cables
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wildbilln864 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 01:21 AM
Response to Original message
2. k&r! n/t
:banghead:
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MrSlayer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 01:53 AM
Response to Original message
5. Is this not the true reason for the Iraq war?
Because Saddam was going to do the same thing? Iraq has far more oil than Iran, which is why they were first. It would have hurt us bad if Iraq went to the Euro or something other than the dollar. This administration is quite foolish, they could have stated the real reason instead of making up all that bullshit about WMDs and I think a lot of people would have been for it. A lot of people would still be for it if the reason for war was to save our economy. This is also why we are never going to leave Iraq or turn the oil over to the people of Iraq. It's naive for anyone to believe that our so-called leaders are going to listen to the will of the people.
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JohnyCanuck Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 02:19 AM
Response to Reply #5
7. Saddam didn't just threaten to sell oil in euros (instead of US dollars)
He actually switched Iraq's oil sales to euros in November 2000. After the US invasion they switched back to selling oil in dollars again.


The Invasion of Iraq: Dollar vs Euro
Re-denominating Iraqi oil in U. S. dollars, instead of the euro

by Sohan Sharma, Sue Tracy, & Surinder Kumar

Z magazine, February 2004

SNIP

If OPEC oil could be sold in other currencies, e.g. the euro, then U.S. economic dominance-dollar imperialism or hegemony-would be seriously challenged. More and more oil importing countries would acquire the euro as their "reserve," its value would increase, and a larger amount of trade would be transacted and denominated in euros. In such circumstances, the value of the dollar would most likely go down, some speculate between 20-40 percent.

In November 2000, Iraq began selling its oil in euros. Iraq's oil for food account at the UN was also in euros and Iraq later converted its $10 billion reserve fund at the UN to euros. Several other oil producing countries have also agreed to sell oil in euros-Iran, Libya, Venezuela, Russia, Indonesia, and Malaysia (soon to join this group). In July 2003, China announced that it would switch part of its dollar reserves into the world's emerging "reserve currency" (the euro).

On January 1, 1999, when 11 European countries formed a monetary union around this currency, Britain and Norway, the major oil producers, were absent. As the U.S. economy began to slow down during mid-2000, Western stock markets began to yield lower dividends. Investors from Gulf Cooperation Council nations lost over $800 million in the stock plunge. As investors sold U.S. assets and reinvested in Europe, which seemed to be better shielded from a recession, the euro began to gain ground against the dollar .

SNIP

The unprovoked "shock and awe" attack on Iraq was to serve several economic purposes: (1) Safeguard the U.S. economy by re-denominating Iraqi oil in U.S. dollars, instead of the euro, to try to lock the world back into dollar oil trading so the U.S. would remain the dominant world power-militarily and economically. (2) Send a clear message to other oil producers as to what will happen to them if they abandon the dollar matrix. (3) Place the second largest oil reserve under direct U.S. control. (4) Create a subject state where the U.S. can maintain a huge force to dominate the Middle East and its oil. (5) Create a severe setback to the European Union and its euro, the only trading block and currency strong enough to attack U.S. dominance of the world through trade. (6) Free its forces (ultimately) so that it can begin operations against those countries that are trying to disengage themselves from U.S. dollar imperialism-such as Venezuela, where the U.S. has supported the attempted overthrow of a democratic government by a junta more friendly to U. S. business/oil interests.

The U.S. also wants to create a new oil cartel in the Middle East and Africa to replace OPEC. To this end the U.S. has been pressuring Nigeria to withdraw from OPEC and its strict production quotas by dangling the prospects of generous U.S. aid. Instead the U.S. seeks to promote a "U.S.-Nigeria Alignment," which would place Nigeria as the primary oil exporter to the U.S. Another move by the U.S. is to promote oil production in other African countries-Algeria, Libya, Egypt, and Angola, from where the U.S. imports a significant amount of oil-so that the oil control of OPEC is loosened, if not broken. Furthermore, the U.S. is pressuring non-OPEC producers to flood the oil market and retain denomination in dollars in an effort to weaken OPEC's market control and challenge the leadership of any country switching oil denomination from the dollar to the euro.

To break up OPEC and control the world's oil supply, it is also helpful to control Middle East and central Asiatic oil producing countries through which oil pipelines traverse. The first attack and occupation was of Afghanistan, October 2001, in itself a gas producing country, but primarily a country through which Central Asia and the Caspian Sea oil and gas will be shipped (piped) to energy-starved Pakistan and India. Afghanistan also provided an alternative to previously existing Russian pipelines. Simultaneously, the U.S. acquired military bases-19 of them-in the Central Asian countries of Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan, and Turkmenistan in the Caspian Basin, all of which are potential oil producers. After the invasion and occupation of Afghanistan and Iraq, the U.S. controlled the natural resources of these two countries and, once again, Iraq's oil began to be traded in U.S. dollars. The UN's oil for food production program was scrapped and the U.S. Iaunched its Iraqi Assistance Fund in U.S. dollars. In December 2003, the U.S. (Pentagon) announced that it had barred French, German, and Russian oil and other companies from bidding on Iraq's reconstruction.

http://www.thirdworldtraveler.com/Iraq/Iraq_dollar_vs_euro.html



A synopsis of the book "Petrodollar Warfare Oil, Iraq and the Future of the Dollar" by William Clark:

The invasion of Iraq may well be remembered as the first oil currency war. Far from being a response to 9-11 terrorism or Iraq's alleged weapons of mass destruction, Petrodollar Warfare argues that the invasion was precipitated by two converging phenomena: the imminent peak in global oil production, and the ascendance of the euro currency.

Energy analysts agree that world oil supplies are about to peak, after which there will be a steady decline in supplies of oil. Iraq, possessing the world's second largest oil reserves, was therefore already a target of U.S. geostrategic interests. Together with the fact that Iraq had switched its oil export currency to euros -- rather than U.S. dollars -- the Bush administration's unreported aim was to prevent further OPEC momentum in favor of the euro as an alternative oil transaction currency standard.

Meticulously researched, Petrodollar Warfare examines U.S. dollar hegemony and the unsustainable macroeconomics of 'petrodollar recycling,' pointing out that the issues underlying the Iraq war also apply to geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and other countries including the European Union (E.U.), Iran, Venezuela, and Russia. The author warns that without changing course, the American Experiment will end the way all empires end with military over-extension and subsequent economic decline. He recommends the multilateral pursuit of both energy and monetary reforms within a United Nations framework to create a more balanced global energy and monetary system thereby reducing the possibility of future oil-depletion and oil currency-related warfare.

http://www.petrodollarwarfare.com/
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MrSlayer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 03:58 AM
Response to Reply #7
9. Thanks.
The lengths that they will go to are unlimited.
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HCE SuiGeneris Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 01:59 AM
Response to Original message
6. "Snip those pesky communication cables, and let's get our bomb on..."
the pResident was heard to utter. "We have some electioning we gotta postpone this year."
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malaise Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 04:33 AM
Response to Original message
10. War is always about money and resources
Everything else is spin.
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leftchick Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 08:13 AM
Response to Original message
12. k&r
.
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JohnyCanuck Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 08:24 AM
Response to Original message
13. The time could be rapidly approaching when they'll need a distraction
in a bad way. War always makes a good distraction to keep the media and the sheep from asking embarrassing questions.

See this thread in LBN, "The White House Mole."

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=102x3169394
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Deja Q Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 08:28 AM
Response to Original message
14. What caused the dollar to drop, which in turn causes other countries not to want it?
Including countries we've given scores of jobs to.
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FogerRox Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 10:32 AM
Response to Reply #14
15. Tecnically speaking we did give jobs to other countries, we gave jobs to corporations based in other
countries, in the sense that the nation state is now weaker than the Corporation.
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