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I saw a marked changed in the "moderate" Repugnicans I would canvass between '00, '02 and '04. In '00 they were pissed about the Clenis and in love with booooshie boy...they wanted to have a beer with the dude and laugh about sleezy hummers. The economy was good (but that was because of Raygun and the GOOP Congress). In '02, they were scared shit...Democrats were weak and they had just gotten a nice check...Rove pulled the strings and they won control of the Senate and gained in the House. In '04, Iraq was just starting to divide people...the 9/11 card still worked and the economy still hadn't gone into the dumper...but people were starting to wonder if all was really that good. The questions weren't answered and the "base" could still justify supporting booosh...but the signs were there that all was not as solid. Many I would encounter would praise booosh but always with a bitch attached...defecits, not enough right wing judges and so on.
The worm turned with the Schaivo circus. The outright pandering to the religious right scared many in the "mainstream"...the the aftermath pissed off the religious right. Katrina, Abu Grahb, No WMD, rising oil prices, Abramoff and then Foley started to peel away the support...the "moderates" stayed home.
This year...another 2,000 dead in Iraq since '06 with no end in sight, a destroyed economy that can't be papered over and the constant exposure of more corruption within this regime has driven the moderates and the right wing in different directions. Many of the moderates see the right wingers in control and that 7 years of booosh has been a disaster...a change is needed. Obama...and to a lesser degree Edwards...appear to have hit a note with many of these moderates who see Democrats as far more capable of dealing with the economy and Iraq than the Repugnicans. Its not as much that these people are coming our way as much as their party has moved far away from them.
I've been very enthused with many GOOPers I encounter this year...the wingnuts are so pissed among themselves they haven't really focused on the general election. The vast majority of "moderates"...or centrists would be a better term...are not only very open to finding common ground rather than differences (note the Thread here by the former GOOPer who is dialoging with us)...I've encountered this in the "real world". There's a change in the political dynamic out there this year and the GOOP is tone deaf. May they remain that way for a long, long time.
Cheers...
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