This is a recap of his predictions in November 2007 - Unfortunately, he's pretty much on target
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How This Economy Is Going To Play Out, Revisitedhttp://agonist.org/ian_welsh/20080309/how_this_economy_is_going_to_play_out_revisitedBack in November, I wrote a brief article describing how I expected the financial meltdown underway to continue, and how I expected it to impact the real economy. Below I'm reprinting the 10 predictions I made and I've bolded those which have already occurred. (Ian Welsh)
Back in November, I wrote a brief article describing how I expected the financial meltdown underway to continue, and how I expected it to impact the real economy.
Below I'm reprinting the 10 predictions I made and I've bolded those which have already occurred.
1. Housing prices and sales will continue to decline. Expect 3 years before the bottom, as a very optimistic best case scenario.
2. Commerical real-estate will suffer a steep decline as well.
3. Consumer demand will drop. Unemployment will rise.
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